| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 0.67 shares | 58.0¢ / 70.0¢ | $1.37 (8.9%) | $15.4 · 1 | $16.3 · 5 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 10:30 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? YesPolitics 171.55 shares | 34.0¢ / 0.2¢ | -$246 (-70.5%) | $349 · 9 | $103 · 165 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 10:14 AM | |
— / 97.6¢ | $11.7 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 6:24 AM | ||
— / 34.8¢ | $80.1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 4:38 AM | ||
— / 96.0¢ | $4.8 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 4:36 AM | ||
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? YesPolitics 6.00 shares | 30.0¢ / 21.0¢ | -$0.54 (-30.0%) | $1.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 3:24 AM | |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? YesCulture 9.80 shares | 71.6¢ / 93.1¢ | $4.26 (17.0%) | $25.1 · 2 | $20.2 · 3 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 5:43 PM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? YesTech 7.45 shares | 86.0¢ / 40.0¢ | -$3.43 (-53.5%) | $6.41 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 12:16 AM | |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? NoTechRedeemable 5.00 shares | 84.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.8 (19.0%) | $4.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 12, 2026 7:52 AM | |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? YesTechRedeemable 29.00 shares | 19.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.2 (401.7%) | $5.78 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 12, 2026 7:46 AM | |
 Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? YesCultureRedeemable 20.00 shares | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.81 (31.6%) | $15.1 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 3, 2026 11:32 AM | |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? NoCultureRedeemable 14.92 shares | 79.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $3 (25.1%) | $11.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 2, 2026 9:54 PM | |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? NoTechRedeemable 91.19 shares | 17.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $189 (331.1%) | $56.8 · 15 | $154 · 10 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 7:53 AM | |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? YesTechRedeemable 22.44 shares | 39.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.7 (156.4%) | $8.75 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 6:43 PM |
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