| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 200.00 shares traded | 72.0¢ / 72.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 11, 2026 4:52 PM | |
 Starmer - UK PM Yes 199.98 net shares | 11.0¢ / 31.0¢ | $20 (181.8%) | May 9, 2026 7:12 PM | |
 December 31 No 220.00 net shares | 51.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$41.9 (-60.8%) | May 8, 2026 9:16 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No 3,050.00 net shares | 97.1¢ / 98.1¢ | $15.5 (1.0%) | May 8, 2026 9:12 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 400.00 net shares | 53.0¢ / 38.0¢ | -$30 (-28.3%) | May 8, 2026 9:11 AM | |
 France Yes 390.00 net shares | 90.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $8 (4.4%) | May 3, 2026 8:55 PM | |
 June 30 No 237.21 net shares | 93.7¢ / 94.3¢ | $0.72 (0.6%) | May 3, 2026 6:31 PM | |
 Turkey Yes 200.00 net shares | 70.0¢ / 64.0¢ | -$6 (-8.6%) | May 3, 2026 5:35 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 900.00 net shares | 84.7¢ / 95.0¢ | $51.4 (12.1%) | May 3, 2026 4:40 PM | |
 Trump out as President by June 30? No -25.99 net shares | 95.4¢ / 98.3¢ | $25 (3.1%) | May 3, 2026 2:25 PM | |
 June 30 No 300.00 net shares | 96.0¢ / 95.0¢ | -$1.5 (-1.0%) | May 3, 2026 1:37 PM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 3,016.65 net shares | 76.6¢ / 57.0¢ | -$306 (-25.6%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:39 PM | |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No 480.00 net shares | 92.2¢ / 97.5¢ | $18.1 (5.8%) | Apr 16, 2026 5:02 PM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 533.00 net shares | 81.5¢ / 94.0¢ | $54.1 (15.3%) | Apr 15, 2026 8:33 AM | |
 June 30 No 2,545.99 net shares | 91.2¢ / 96.0¢ | $122 (5.3%) | Apr 7, 2026 8:37 PM | |
 Kevin Warsh Yes 300.00 net shares | 96.2¢ / 99.8¢ | $10.8 (3.7%) | Apr 7, 2026 8:57 AM | |
 United Russia (ER) Yes 895.99 net shares | 68.9¢ / 63.0¢ | -$45.9 (-8.6%) | Apr 6, 2026 12:08 PM | |
 Another Canada election called by June 30? No 119.09 net shares | 92.8¢ / 98.7¢ | $7.04 (6.4%) | Apr 5, 2026 3:12 AM | |
 Japan Yes 50.87 net shares | 55.0¢ / 76.0¢ | $10.7 (38.2%) | Apr 5, 2026 12:00 AM | |
June 30 No 219.99 net shares | 68.5¢ / 43.0¢ | -$56 (-37.2%) | Apr 4, 2026 6:17 AM | |
 June 30, 2026 No 645.81 net shares | 83.6¢ / 90.0¢ | $41.1 (7.6%) | Apr 3, 2026 1:18 PM | |
 Flávio Bolsonaro Yes 100.00 net shares | 40.0¢ / 42.2¢ | $2.2 (5.5%) | Mar 31, 2026 10:02 AM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No 500.00 net shares | 93.0¢ / 97.3¢ | $21.5 (4.6%) | Mar 25, 2026 8:46 AM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 40.00 net shares | 88.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $0.4 (1.1%) | Mar 18, 2026 1:09 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 60.00 net shares | 63.0¢ / 1.0¢ | -$37.2 (-98.4%) | Mar 17, 2026 9:29 AM |
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