BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
ResolvedVolume
$995K
Txns
9,888
Traders
1,577
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 23, 2025
Volume
$995K
Txns
9,888
Traders
1,577
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 23, 2025
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice (BSW, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) wins 5% or more of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +487.30 | $0.49 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.9¢ | +12,709.30 | $12.7K | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | rpo | No / 99.9¢ | +15,000.00 | $15K | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,487.30 | $2.49 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9,512.70 | $9.51 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,057.00 | $5.06 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +5,057.00 | $5.05K | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.8¢ | +11.00 | $11 | |
| 1y | x34345 | No / 99.8¢ | -11.00 | $11 | |
| 1y | rpo | No / 99.9¢ | +765.00 | $764 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +765.00 | $0.77 | |
| 1y | Machaon | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,227.17 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,227.17 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | 0Lumpenloui0 | No / 99.8¢ | -2.56 | $2.55 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.8¢ | +2.56 | $2.55 | |
| 1y | GarthBroadmore | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.41 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | Lennart | No / 99.9¢ | +439.41 | $439 | |
| 1y | BHB66BJNKM | No / 99.8¢ | -35.00 | $34.9 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.8¢ | +35.00 | $34.9 | |
| 1y | monica49 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.11 | $4.11 |
1–25
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Yes 100%$2.96Mvolume
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$2.71Mvolume
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Yes 100%$1.01Mvolume
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
Yes 100%$871Kvolume
Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$922Kvolume