nigelrares Polymarket Trader

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Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? YesPolitics 45.90 shares	13.1¢ / 0.2¢	-$5.91 (-98.5%)	$6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 9:36 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 50.00 shares	32.0¢ / 22.5¢	-$4.76 (-29.7%)	$16 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 9:34 PM
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? YesPolitics 54.34 shares	11.0¢ / 8.9¢	-$1.16 (-19.4%)	$6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 9:15 PM
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 426.00 shares	0.9¢ / 6.4¢	$23.3 (581.6%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:44 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House YesPolitics 45.45 shares	22.0¢ / 43.0¢	$9.55 (95.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:16 PM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 18.32 shares	27.3¢ / 22.3¢	-$0.92 (-18.4%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 7:28 PM
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 395.00 shares	3.7¢ / 1.7¢	-$7.71 (-53.4%)	$14.4 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 3:57 PM
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 76.92 shares	6.5¢ / 7.5¢	$0.77 (15.4%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 3:41 PM
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 18.18 shares	55.0¢ / 57.0¢	$0.37 (3.7%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 3:35 PM
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? YesPoliticsRedeemable 39.47 shares	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (163.2%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	May 27, 2026 8:21 AM
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? YesPoliticsRedeemable 42.98 shares	34.9¢ / 100.0¢	$28 (186.5%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	May 27, 2026 8:16 AM
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? YesCultureRedeemable 45.49 shares	83.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.49 (19.7%)	$38 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 2:59 AM
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? YesPoliticsRedeemable 30.77 shares	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.8 (53.8%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 12:44 AM
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? YesPoliticsRedeemable 50.85 shares	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.8 (69.5%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 12:36 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? WonYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$319 (233.3%)	$137 · 1	$0	$0	May 19, 2025 8:11 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? WonNoPolitics	44.5¢ / 100.0¢	$127 (123.9%)	$102 · 2	$229 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2025 4:28 AM
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? WonYesPolitics	52.1¢ / 100.0¢	$117 (49.2%)	$237 · 6	$354 · 4	$0	Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election? WonYesPolitics	38.6¢ / 100.0¢	$115 (156.9%)	$73.4 · 3	$189 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2025 3:31 AM
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? WonYesPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$44.6 (81.1%)	$55 · 1	$99.6 · 1	$0	Jul 5, 2025 9:58 PM
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	54.7¢ / 100.0¢	$37.2 (82.7%)	$45 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 10, 2026 8:20 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	71.7¢ / 100.0¢	$36.8 (39.5%)	$93.2 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 10, 2026 8:20 PM
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23? WonNoMentions	52.9¢ / 100.0¢	$26.7 (89.0%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 24, 2025 7:46 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? WonYesPolitics	62.4¢ / 100.0¢	$22 (14.1%)	$156 · 4	$28 · 1	$0	Jul 14, 2025 9:45 PM
Will anyone say "Movie" 7+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? WonNoMentions	59.5¢ / 100.0¢	$20.4 (68.0%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 8:26 AM
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$19.4 (12.4%)	$156 · 2	$175 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2025 8:56 AM
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23? WonYesMentions	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.3 (88.7%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 24, 2025 7:46 AM
Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28? WonYesMentions	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.7 (117.4%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 28, 2025 8:55 PM
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first? WonPutinPolitics	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.8 (54.0%)	$20 · 1	$30.8 · 1	$0	Aug 15, 2025 9:20 PM
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23? WonYesMentions	83.7¢ / 100.0¢	$9.76 (19.5%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 24, 2025 7:46 AM
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18? WonYesMentions	69.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.99 (44.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 18, 2025 8:12 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? WonYesPolitics	20.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.26 (3.0%)	$276 · 3	$284 · 3	$0	Jun 28, 2025 4:53 AM
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Merz events on June 5? WonYesMentions	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.22 (49.1%)	$16.8 · 1	$25 · 1	$0	Jun 5, 2025 6:27 PM
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.56 (11.1%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 10, 2026 8:20 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent? WonYesPolitics	49.9¢ / 0.0¢	$4.79 (14.2%)	$33.7 · 3	$38.5 · 1	$0	Jun 24, 2025 8:45 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? WonYesPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.4 (12.4%)	$35.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2025 6:24 AM
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? WonYesPolitics	95.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.18 (4.2%)	$100 · 1	$104 · 1	$0	Jun 3, 2025 9:34 PM
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18? WonYesMentions	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.34 (12.4%)	$27 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 18, 2025 8:12 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu? WonNoPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.22 (3.1%)	$105 · 2	$108 · 1	$0	Jun 24, 2025 10:02 AM
Will JD Vance say "Washington" or "DC" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28? WonYesMentions	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.44 (16.3%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 28, 2025 8:51 PM

nigelrares Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$1.63

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.63

Open-$38.1

High-$35.5

Low-$39.9

Close-$39.7

Open positions14

USD balance$0

2$6.23

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.23

Open-$39.7

High-$26.6

Low-$42.8

Close-$33.5

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

3-$6.6

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.6

Open-$33.5

High-$31

Low-$40.9

Close-$40.1

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

4-$0.04

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open-$40.1

High-$37.2

Low-$43.5

Close-$40.1

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

5$2.71

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.71

Open-$40.1

High-$36.9

Low-$42.6

Close-$37.4

Open positions14

USD balance$0

6-$0.5

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.5

Open-$37.4

High-$35.3

Low-$40.5

Close-$37.9

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

7$0.52

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.52

Open-$37.9

High-$35

Low-$39.3

Close-$37.4

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

8-$1.93

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.93

Open-$37.4

High-$35.6

Low-$40.6

Close-$39.3

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

9-$1.71

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.71

Open-$39.3

High-$39.3

Low-$43.6

Close-$41

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

10-$0.38

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open-$41

High-$40.1

Low-$43

Close-$41.4

Open positions14

USD balance$70.7

11$1.43

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.43

Open-$41.4

High-$39.4

Low-$43.4

Close-$40

Open positions14

USD balance$0

12-$2.25

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.25

Open-$40

High-$39.8

Low-$43.6

Close-$42.2

Open positions14

USD balance$0

13$1.1

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.1

Open-$42.2

High-$39.8

Low-$42.7

Close-$41.1

Open positions14

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $1.097D -$3.4330D -$154

Markets

101

Won

Lost

Win Rate

65.2%

Profit Factor

5.33x

Avg Win

$32.7

Avg Loss

-$11.5

Total Wins

$982

Total Losses

-$184

Avg. Hold Time

49d 9h 44m 27s

Best Win

$319

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Worst Loss

-$375

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Period

Best Period

$291, May 12 – May 18

Worst Period

-$425, May 27 – Jun 2

Longest Streak

6d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$520 (-131.8%)

Current DD

-$436 (-110.4%)

Max Runup

$382 (629.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$2.14(318)

nigelrares

Analytics

Analytics

nigelrares

nigelrares

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

nigelrares

Trader DNA

Trader DNA