
Volume
$2M
Txns
9,855
Traders
1,332
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ro0k | Yes / 99.9¢ | +79.31 | $79.2 | |
| 1y | jejoxtroll | Yes / 99.9¢ | -79.31 | $79.2 | |
| 1y | ro0k | Yes / 99.9¢ | +49.33 | $49.3 | |
| 1y | andarian | Yes / 99.9¢ | -49.33 | $49.3 | |
| 1y | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,148.84 | $1.15K | |
| 1y | ro0k | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,817.82 | $2.82K | |
| 1y | hossoland | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4,166.66 | $4.16K | |
| 1y | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | sdd1123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +1,249.98 | $1.25 | |
| 1y | Wonfo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,323.68 | $2.32K | |
| 1y | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | No / 0.1¢ | +172.68 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,946.34 | $3.94K | |
| 1y | Funfzig | No / 0.1¢ | +12.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | valenzuelaseth | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12.01 | $12 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | No / 0.1¢ | +15.30 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | 0x287c...77e781 | No / 0.1¢ | -15.30 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | whyuasostupid | No / 0.2¢ | +400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Arbguy | No / 0.2¢ | +22,372.89 | $44.7 | |
| 1y | theo5 | No / 0.2¢ | -23,772.89 | $47.5 | |
| 1y | mistybaker-277 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +13.46 | $13.4 | |
| 1y | Arbguy | No / 0.2¢ | +13.46 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 55%$0volume