| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 38,001.44 net shares | 30.2¢ / 28.0¢ | -$217 (-7.2%) | May 21, 2026 5:22 PM | |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 32,957.36 net shares | 70.3¢ / 72.0¢ | $167 (2.4%) | May 21, 2026 1:40 PM | |
 Brazil Yes 9,746.43 net shares | 8.6¢ / 8.8¢ | $0 (2.1%) | May 11, 2026 4:51 PM | |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -50,054.70 net shares | 3.6¢ / 1.9¢ | -$0 (-47.3%) | May 3, 2026 1:28 PM | |
 50+ bps increase Yes -278,045.50 net shares | 0.3¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0 (-33.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 10:13 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No 2,502.07 net shares | 89.6¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0.01 (-99.9%) | Apr 30, 2026 6:20 AM | |
 Kevin / Warsh No 3,635.69 net shares | 1.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$36.4 (-100.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 6:37 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes 1,501.54 net shares | 3.6¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-97.2%) | Apr 29, 2026 6:12 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 22,551.61 net shares | 35.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.11 (-100.0%) | Apr 21, 2026 1:37 AM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 21,862.42 net shares | 63.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (56.7%) | Apr 20, 2026 7:49 PM | |
25 bps decrease Yes -1,871.90 net shares | 0.7¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 15, 2026 4:23 AM | |
 50+ bps decrease No 2,000.00 net shares | 99.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.3%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:01 AM | |
25+ bps increase No 1,000.00 net shares | 99.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.5%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:01 AM | |
No change No 1,997.97 net shares | 1.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 14, 2026 11:37 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? Yes 1,038.26 net shares | 4.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 9, 2026 11:37 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? No 1,038.25 net shares | 95.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (4.2%) | Apr 9, 2026 11:19 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No 10,000.01 net shares | 78.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (28.1%) | Mar 8, 2026 1:35 AM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Yes 9,999.99 net shares | 21.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Mar 7, 2026 10:04 PM | |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 0.00 net shares | 16.5¢ / 6.9¢ | -$0 (-58.2%) | Jan 14, 2026 8:46 AM | |
 Gavin Newsom Yes 0.00 net shares | 22.0¢ / 16.2¢ | -$0 (-26.4%) | Dec 2, 2025 7:22 PM |
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