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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 590.00 shares | 90.6¢ / 89.6¢ | -$5.84 (-1.1%) | $534 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:33 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 80.0¢ / 79.0¢ | -$2 (-1.3%) | $160 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:29 PM | |
![]() Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? YesFinance 177.30 shares | 9.0¢ / 0.6¢ | -$8.96 (-16.3%) | $51.7 · 6 | $45 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:29 PM | |
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 131.10 shares | 8.9¢ / 3.6¢ | -$15.8 (-48.8%) | $32.4 · 3 | $11.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:28 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 305.53 shares | 33.3¢ / 34.0¢ | $64.9 (4.2%) | $1.53K · 56 | $1.49K · 39 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:26 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 62.74 shares | 35.0¢ / 47.0¢ | $18.3 (20.0%) | $91.5 · 4 | $80.4 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:26 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? YesPolitics 400.00 shares | 16.6¢ / 8.0¢ | -$59.9 (-18.0%) | $332 · 13 | $240 · 8 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:22 PM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? YesPolitics 71.26 shares | 5.5¢ / 5.5¢ | $12.7 (33.3%) | $38 · 4 | $46.8 · 6 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:20 PM | |
![]() Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? YesFinance 140.00 shares | 15.6¢ / 1.9¢ | -$10.8 (-12.0%) | $84.9 · 6 | $76.6 · 7 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:19 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 15? YesPolitics 435.54 shares | 30.8¢ / 29.0¢ | -$6.18 (-1.8%) | $348 · 22 | $215 · 11 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:18 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? YesPolitics 397.34 shares | 18.0¢ / 9.3¢ | -$107 (-18.5%) | $579 · 37 | $435 · 18 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:18 PM | |
![]() Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? YesPolitics 648.60 shares | 10.0¢ / 1.7¢ | -$65.3 (-48.4%) | $135 · 7 | $58.7 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:09 PM | |
![]() Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? YesPolitics 77.59 shares | 7.0¢ / 5.2¢ | -$5.37 (-25.7%) | $20.9 · 1 | $11.5 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:00 PM | |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 205.00 shares | 10.5¢ / 5.0¢ | -$18.7 (-35.6%) | $52.6 · 4 | $23.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:00 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? YesPolitics 135.83 shares | 21.5¢ / 21.0¢ | -$20.8 (-2.2%) | $945 · 44 | $896 · 47 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:52 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 31? YesPolitics 370.06 shares | 38.1¢ / 40.0¢ | $41.2 (8.7%) | $475 · 27 | $369 · 16 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:52 PM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? YesPolitics 407.01 shares | 11.8¢ / 9.0¢ | -$18.8 (-6.1%) | $309 · 10 | $254 · 15 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:51 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 448.20 shares | 25.0¢ / 24.0¢ | -$179 (-6.2%) | $2.88K · 87 | $2.6K · 100 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:49 PM | |
![]() Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? YesPolitics 16.20 shares | 32.0¢ / 36.0¢ | $2.4 (12.5%) | $19.2 · 1 | $15.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:33 PM | |
![]() Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 4.75 shares | 22.3¢ / 52.8¢ | $170 (26.8%) | $637 · 25 | $804 · 34 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:29 PM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 13.73 shares | 13.0¢ / 13.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1.78 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:22 PM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? YesPolitics 12.90 shares | 9.0¢ / 9.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1.16 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:22 PM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 9.0¢ / 9.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
![]() Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? YesPolitics 359.44 shares | 17.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$32.2 (-52.9%) | $61 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026? YesPolitics 137.52 shares | 6.9¢ / 39.0¢ | $46.4 (464.3%) | $10 · 1 | $2.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:19 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Iran closes its airspace by June 15? WonYesPolitics | 35.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $704 (71.8%) | $981 · 57 | $1.69K · 53 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:34 AM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 19.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $558 (46.7%) | $1.19K · 59 | $1.75K · 62 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 12:29 AM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 39.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $335 (26.2%) | $1.28K · 77 | $1.61K · 72 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 12:29 AM | |
![]() Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 68.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $301 (45.2%) | $666 · 20 | $967 · 2 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 7:04 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 37.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $295 (33.9%) | $868 · 35 | $1.16K · 45 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 24? WonNoPolitics | 4.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $285 (1425.0%) | $20 · 1 | $305 · 1 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:33 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? WonNoPolitics | 3.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $264 (2399.2%) | $11 · 2 | $5.11 · 1 | $0 | May 26, 2026 3:21 AM | |
66.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $249 (40.0%) | $623 · 16 | $872 · 8 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 8:56 PM | ||
![]() Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 40.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $228 (57.3%) | $398 · 31 | $625 · 14 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:16 AM | |
67.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $222 (5.6%) | $3.98K · 106 | $4.2K · 88 | $0 | Mar 26, 2026 12:36 AM | ||
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 44.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $187 (8.6%) | $2.19K · 129 | $2.38K · 108 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? WonNoPolitics | 3.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $166 (2387.3%) | $6.95 · 1 | $3.75 · 1 | $0 | May 26, 2026 3:21 AM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? WonYesPolitics | 30.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $159 (23.1%) | $688 · 61 | $847 · 46 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 10:14 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 44.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $156 (43.0%) | $362 · 4 | $518 · 8 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:35 AM | |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 24.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $148 (190.8%) | $77.7 · 7 | $226 · 3 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:36 PM | |
81.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $140 (11.1%) | $1.26K · 38 | $1.4K · 22 | $0 | Apr 10, 2026 3:48 PM | ||
22.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $135 (28.3%) | $479 · 42 | $614 · 26 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 2:04 PM | ||
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 43.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $133 (21.1%) | $631 · 27 | $764 · 30 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 12:29 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? WonNoPolitics | 13.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $131 (504.8%) | $26 · 1 | $7.24 · 1 | $0 | May 26, 2026 3:21 AM | |
![]() Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 53.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $115 (20.3%) | $567 · 48 | $682 · 33 | $0 | Mar 2, 2026 10:43 AM | |
![]() Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 36.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $112 (94.4%) | $119 · 9 | $231 · 4 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:36 PM | |
![]() Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 73.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $106 (32.4%) | $328 · 11 | $434 · 7 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 5:52 AM | |
11.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $105 (55.3%) | $190 · 9 | $295 · 21 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 1:30 AM | ||
68.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $104 (8.7%) | $1.19K · 33 | $1.3K · 32 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:28 PM | ||
![]() Iran strike on US military by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 58.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $99 (68.9%) | $144 · 9 | $242 · 4 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 10:42 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
797
Won
319
Lost
285
Win Rate
52.8%
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$31.9
Avg Loss
-$18.8
Total Wins
$10.2K
Total Losses
-$5.37K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield