
Volume
$946K
Txns
8,978
Traders
1,264
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile, drone, or other strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$4.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.87Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 55%$8.07Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | khai13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.26 | $1.26 | |
| 3mo | xfcghb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.26 | $1.26 | |
| 3mo | khai13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.12 | $4.12 | |
| 3mo | 0xFb6E1a92A7144e768CA45A92e8946aF8c557b55F-1769078046345 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.12 | $4.12 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -2,848.31 | $8.54 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -83.37 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -1,611.65 | $4.83 | |
| 3mo | 0x27C90C34b0b85a3AA952 | No / 0.3¢ | +9,890.66 | $30 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +79.26 | $79.1 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.6¢ | -10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -3,000.00 | $9 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 1.2¢ | -24.37 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -2,000.00 | $6 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | xiaomenn | Yes / 99.8¢ | +92.00 | $91.8 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.4¢ | -10.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.3¢ | -71.70 | $0.22 | |
| 3mo | greenlove | No / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +20.66 | $20.6 | |
| 3mo | washere | Yes / 99.8¢ | -20.66 | $20.6 | |
| 3mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +61.08 | $61 |
1–25