
Volume
$946K
Txns
8,985
Traders
1,264
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile, drone, or other strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 63%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | khai13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.26 | $1.26 | |
| 4mo | xfcghb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.26 | $1.26 | |
| 4mo | khai13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.12 | $4.12 | |
| 4mo | 0xFb6E1a92A7144e768CA45A92e8946aF8c557b55F-1769078046345 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.12 | $4.12 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -2,848.31 | $8.54 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -83.37 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -1,611.65 | $4.83 | |
| 4mo | 0x27C90C34b0b85a3AA952 | No / 0.3¢ | +9,890.66 | $30 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +79.26 | $79.1 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.6¢ | -10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -3,000.00 | $9 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 1.2¢ | -24.37 | $0.29 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -2,000.00 | $6 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | xiaomenn | Yes / 99.8¢ | +92.00 | $91.8 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.4¢ | -10.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.3¢ | -71.70 | $0.22 | |
| 4mo | bluelove | No / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +20.66 | $20.6 | |
| 4mo | washere | Yes / 99.8¢ | -20.66 | $20.6 | |
| 4mo | yuyuyuyuy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +61.08 | $61 |
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