| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? YesPoliticsRedeemable 2.11 shares | 94.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.11 (5.6%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 3.02 shares | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3 (59.7%) | $2.18 · 2 | $0.46 · 14 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NoPolitics 3.57 shares | 74.0¢ / 75.2¢ | -$1.83 (-5.9%) | $30.9 · 20 | $26.4 · 64 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:03 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 0.85 shares | 52.8¢ / 50.0¢ | -$8.4 (-18.5%) | $45.5 · 39 | $36.7 · 242 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:03 PM | |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? NoPolitics 0.85 shares | 88.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $0.12 (8.2%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0.77 · 8 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:03 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 5.84 shares | 50.3¢ / 40.0¢ | $2.47 (8.6%) | $28.6 · 18 | $28.8 · 122 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:03 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? NoPolitics 3.69 shares | 43.5¢ / 50.0¢ | $3.19 (20.6%) | $15.5 · 14 | $16.9 · 77 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:03 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 2.90 shares | 52.9¢ / 60.0¢ | $3.32 (16.2%) | $20.5 · 13 | $22.1 · 105 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:01 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? YesPolitics 0.06 shares | 35.9¢ / 24.0¢ | $0.14 (3.3%) | $4.15 · 3 | $4.27 · 23 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:58 PM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2.08 shares | 42.0¢ / 23.0¢ | -$0.4 (-36.7%) | $1.09 · 1 | $0.21 · 3 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:56 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 1.09 shares | 25.5¢ / 14.0¢ | -$0.45 (-20.7%) | $2.18 · 2 | $1.58 · 23 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:55 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 0.11 shares | 29.1¢ / 16.0¢ | -$2.38 (-8.0%) | $29.7 · 24 | $27.3 · 242 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:54 PM | |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YesPolitics 5.26 shares | 54.2¢ / 79.4¢ | $3.59 (38.4%) | $9.36 · 8 | $8.78 · 17 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:53 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 15.72 shares | 72.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $1.39 (2.9%) | $47.6 · 29 | $36.1 · 89 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:51 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 3.50 shares | 51.5¢ / 45.0¢ | -$0.2 (-9.3%) | $2.2 · 2 | $0.42 · 21 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:35 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 4.88 shares | 46.2¢ / 55.0¢ | $0.4 (10.9%) | $3.71 · 3 | $1.43 · 14 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:35 PM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 4.81 shares | 44.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $1.31 (32.0%) | $4.08 · 2 | $2.07 · 12 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:25 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 0.78 shares | 55.0¢ / 31.0¢ | -$0.37 (-29.7%) | $1.26 · 1 | $0.64 · 11 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:25 PM | |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? NoPolitics 6.01 shares | 99.8¢ / 98.8¢ | -$0.06 (-1.0%) | $6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 7:07 PM | |
 Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? NoCulture 2.00 shares | 99.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:03 AM | |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.13 shares | 97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.1%) | $1.51 · 1 | $1.38 · 2 | $0 | Jun 6, 2026 6:03 AM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.97 shares | 66.2¢ / 100.0¢ | -$1.62 (-49.0%) | $3.31 · 3 | $0.71 · 12 | $0 | May 31, 2026 5:02 AM | |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.91 shares | 53.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.45 (40.5%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.64 · 8 | $0 | May 25, 2026 6:35 AM | |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.58 shares | 99.2¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.04 (-2.0%) | $2.18 · 2 | $1.56 · 5 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:28 PM | |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? NoPoliticsRedeemable 1.12 shares | 97.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (3.1%) | $1.09 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:51 AM |
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