 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 349.91 net shares | 65.1¢ / 67.0¢ | -$208 (-30.3%) | $133 198.17 shares | Apr 24, 2026 1:58 PM | |
 April 26 Yes 85.27 net shares | 42.1¢ / 99.7¢ | -$29.5 (-40.4%) | $37.5 37.64 shares | Apr 27, 2026 6:03 PM | |
 50+ bps increase No 22.84 net shares | 99.2¢ / 99.8¢ | -$22.7 (-57.1%) | $20 20.00 shares | Mar 31, 2026 11:54 AM | |
25 bps increase No 37.00 net shares | 95.5¢ / 98.6¢ | -$35.3 (-92.4%) | $19.7 20.00 shares | Mar 31, 2026 11:48 AM | |
 June Meeting No 19.86 net shares | 90.0¢ / 91.0¢ | -$17.9 (-100.0%) | $18.1 19.86 shares | Mar 31, 2026 11:47 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 82.46 net shares | 65.0¢ / 37.0¢ | -$59.1 (-87.9%) | $15.3 41.23 shares | Apr 24, 2026 11:24 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes 56.96 net shares | 29.5¢ / 28.0¢ | -$17.5 (-58.0%) | $14.5 51.96 shares | Apr 17, 2026 11:42 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 387.14 net shares | 9.4¢ / 7.0¢ | -$36 (-67.7%) | $14.5 207.51 shares | Apr 17, 2026 6:15 PM | |
— / 88.0¢ | $0 | $13 14.75 shares | — | ||
 David Sacks No 22.00 net shares | 5.0¢ / 60.2¢ | -$1.1 (-100.0%) | $11.7 19.50 shares | Mar 26, 2026 11:38 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 22.66 net shares | 54.8¢ / 28.0¢ | -$21.3 (-15.7%) | $8.71 31.10 shares | Apr 24, 2026 11:32 AM | |
June 30 Yes 43.14 net shares | 63.5¢ / 39.0¢ | -$21.1 (-32.8%) | $8.41 21.57 shares | Apr 17, 2026 2:57 PM | |
 J.D. Vance No 43.44 net shares | 25.0¢ / 56.8¢ | -$1.32 (-7.3%) | $8.29 14.60 shares | Apr 20, 2026 2:21 PM | |
 June 30 No 9.66 net shares | 62.0¢ / 78.0¢ | -$5.99 (-100.0%) | $7.53 9.66 shares | Apr 18, 2026 3:00 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 36.70 net shares | 63.6¢ / 33.0¢ | -$28.9 (-44.2%) | $6.06 18.35 shares | Apr 21, 2026 12:10 AM | |
 April 30, 2026 No 5.00 net shares | 76.0¢ / 96.6¢ | -$3.8 (-100.0%) | $4.83 5.00 shares | Apr 5, 2026 6:44 PM | |
 December 31 No 12.80 net shares | 65.0¢ / 63.0¢ | -$8.32 (-100.0%) | $4.03 6.40 shares | Apr 21, 2026 12:10 AM | |
 Roberto Sánchez Palomino No 248.63 net shares | 31.2¢ / 4.2¢ | -$77.9 (-97.5%) | $3.92 93.25 shares | Apr 22, 2026 7:57 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 10.00 net shares | 71.0¢ / 55.0¢ | -$7.1 (-100.0%) | $2.75 5.00 shares | Apr 22, 2026 6:07 PM | |
25+ bps increase No -192.84 net shares | 97.3¢ / 99.9¢ | $187 (2195.6%) | $2.29 2.29 shares | Mar 22, 2026 7:47 PM | |
Roberto Sánchez Palomino No 43.06 net shares | 69.8¢ / 99.0¢ | -$30 (-100.0%) | $2.01 2.03 shares | Apr 15, 2026 6:39 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes 27.80 net shares | 18.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$5 (-100.0%) | $1.81 13.90 shares | Apr 23, 2026 6:10 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 36.48 net shares | 21.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$7.66 (-100.0%) | $1.46 18.24 shares | Apr 21, 2026 1:12 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 4.23 net shares | 26.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$1.1 (-100.0%) | $1.18 4.23 shares | Mar 28, 2026 10:42 PM | |
 UK No 1.17 net shares | 94.0¢ / 99.7¢ | -$1.1 (-100.0%) | $1.17 1.17 shares | Mar 27, 2026 1:39 PM |
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