Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
ActiveVolume
$178K
Txns
2,980
Traders
511
Fees
$989
Liquidity
$41,174
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
Volume
$178K
Txns
2,980
Traders
511
Fees
$989
Liquidity
$41,174
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.24Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.61Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 50%$1.74Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$785Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +24.28 | $5.58 | |
| 1h | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 22.1¢ | -24.28 | $5.37 | |
| 4h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 76.0¢ | +764.42 | $581 | |
| 4h | iwasmugen | Yes / 24.0¢ | +764.42 | $190 | |
| 8h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 8h | 0x945bfA47F632109B0FE2a4c63d2D70FfCdf3b561-1774368846225 | No / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 | |
| 9h | 0x28FCfCE0A2910e031Ab59fC5DC76487E94504E92-1714143398129 | No / 77.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.89 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.15 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 9h | uyhj | No / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 | |
| 9h | Masonclarke.mj | No / 77.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.79 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.3 | |
| 9h | 0xc94e7402dF228C331db453594c5B6a95143055DC-1714208663389 | No / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 9h | 156451-1714143399533 | No / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 | |
| 9h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 9h | 0x28FCfCE0A2910e031Ab59fC5DC76487E94504E92-1714143398129 | No / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 | |
| 11h | wqwe | No / 75.1¢ | -201.07 | $151 | |
| 11h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 76.0¢ | +201.07 | $153 | |
| 11h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 76.0¢ | +8.29 | $6.3 | |
| 11h | 0xdC17961132CbE21A95BE99287AE08E4a1681c4AB-1773261094450 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +8.29 | $2.07 | |
| 12h | 0x78fb...ffce55 | No / 77.0¢ | +2.53 | $1.97 | |
| 12h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +2.53 | $0.58 | |
| 13h | NoPeeking | Yes / 23.0¢ | +6.23 | $1.43 |
1–25