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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? NoPolitics 1.92 shares | 92.8¢ / 99.3¢ | $0.05 (0.6%) | $7.7 · 7 | $6.02 · 40 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:08 PM | |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? NoTechRedeemable 0.91 shares | 93.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.08 (6.7%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.29 · 1 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 6:21 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 83.4¢ / 98.9¢ | $1.72 (8.1%) | $20.9 · 19 | $23.1 · 11 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:15 PM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 55.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.41 (62.3%) | $2.2 · 2 | $3.66 · 3 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:32 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 73.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $0.66 (3.3%) | $19.8 · 18 | $20.9 · 18 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 1:22 PM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 72.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.53 (11.7%) | $4.4 · 4 | $5.02 · 6 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 84.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.4 (12.0%) | $3.3 · 3 | $3.77 · 4 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 10:49 AM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21? WonNoPolitics | 82.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.22 (19.7%) | $1.1 · 1 | $1.34 · 2 | $0 | May 22, 2026 6:15 AM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 89.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.2 (6.1%) | $3.3 · 3 | $3.57 · 20 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:42 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 81.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.18 (16.2%) | $1.1 · 1 | $1.3 · 10 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? WonNoPolitics | 84.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.15 (6.9%) | $2.2 · 2 | $2.4 · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:32 AM | |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? WonYesPolitics | 51.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.16 (14.0%) | $1.1 · 1 | $1.28 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 80.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.1 (9.1%) | $1.1 · 1 | $1.22 · 1 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:32 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? LostNoPolitics | 67.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.1 (-2.3%) | $4.4 · 4 | $4.39 · 2 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:49 AM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? LostYesPolitics | 65.5¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.17 (-3.8%) | $4.4 · 4 | $4.31 · 1 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:46 AM | |
14.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.18 (-15.9%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.94 · 1 | $0 | Jun 8, 2026 6:04 AM | ||
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? LostYesPolitics | 27.5¢ / 0.9¢ | -$0.26 (-23.7%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.85 · 1 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:13 PM | |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? LostYesPolitics | 40.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.28 (-6.2%) | $4.4 · 4 | $4.21 · 6 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:42 PM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? LostYesPolitics | 35.7¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.35 (-15.6%) | $2.2 · 2 | $1.89 · 4 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:30 AM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? LostYesPolitics | 85.9¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.7 (-31.5%) | $2.2 · 2 | $1.53 · 2 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 6:05 AM | |
82.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.67 (-74.8%) | $2.2 · 2 | $0.56 · 3 | $0 | May 15, 2026 9:01 PM | ||
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31? LostNoPolitics | 70.8¢ / 100.0¢ | -$1.91 (-11.4%) | $16.5 · 15 | $14.9 · 24 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:18 AM | |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? LostNoPolitics | 87.9¢ / 100.0¢ | -$2.19 (-17.8%) | $12.1 · 11 | $10.1 · 18 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 6:03 AM | |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? LostNoPolitics | 85.2¢ / 100.0¢ | -$3.68 (-82.7%) | $4.4 · 4 | $0.77 · 5 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:30 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
23
Won
8
Lost
9
Win Rate
47.1%
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$0.4
Avg Loss
-$1.12
Total Wins
$3.21
Total Losses
-$10.1
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
