
Volume
$45K
Txns
1,070
Traders
167
Fees
$114
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +80.13 | $80.1 | |
| 29d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 29d | Haradwaith | No / 99.9¢ | -20.13 | $20.1 | |
| 29d | marana0447 | No / 99.6¢ | -51.00 | $50.8 | |
| 29d | oslan0083 | No / 99.5¢ | -40.25 | $40 | |
| 29d | Slothtrop | No / 99.5¢ | -7.28 | $7.24 | |
| 29d | chaosj88 | No / 99.6¢ | +98.53 | $98.1 | |
| 1mo | oslan0083 | No / 99.5¢ | -10.74 | $10.7 | |
| 1mo | tim8866 | No / 99.5¢ | +10.74 | $10.7 | |
| 1mo | 0xe811382D16b0a0321418d3fe7884263B4B4677E5-1766547528521 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +154.91 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | Haradwaith | No / 99.3¢ | +20.10 | $20 | |
| 1mo | Slothtrop | No / 99.2¢ | +7.28 | $7.22 | |
| 1mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -11.97 | $0.11 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.6¢ | -20.42 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.6¢ | -95.14 | $0.57 | |
| 1mo | DooBieZ | No / 99.7¢ | -70.83 | $70.6 | |
| 1mo | jskdsnnsnclso | Yes / 0.3¢ | -70.83 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.6¢ | -4.58 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 99.4¢ | -4.58 | $4.55 | |
| 1mo | kelbros | No / 99.2¢ | -4.86 | $4.82 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.8¢ | -4.86 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.35 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 0xe5f9...ce75fd | Yes / 0.3¢ | +7.68 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | sux2beu | Yes / 0.2¢ | -37.03 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | 0x6ffd...82cdbc | Yes / 0.3¢ | +6.17 | $0.02 |
1–25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No 89%$0volume
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?
Yes 59%$0volume
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 84%$0volume
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Will Eyüpspor win the Süper Lig?
No 100%$0volume