
Volume
$94K
Txns
1,742
Traders
322
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 16, 2026
The Spring Festival Gala is a celebration of the Chinese New Year set to air on February 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed brand has robot dancers featured at the Spring Festival Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only ground-based robots will count; drone displays will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only ground-based robots will count; drone displays will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Spring Festival Gala is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event or a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$11.6Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.16Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 84%$1.67Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.54Mvolume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 80%$541Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 0xc449f51Abb478CFe98ab1e612a38Fd08506abd48-1721786561364 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 3mo | nevneven | No / 0.1¢ | -321.24 | $0.32 | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +321.24 | $0.32 | |
| 3mo | NiFengFanPan | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +1,001.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | llh | Yes / 99.9¢ | +813.15 | $812 | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +813.15 | $0.81 | |
| 3mo | aiwhite | Yes / 99.9¢ | -292.08 | $292 | |
| 3mo | llh | Yes / 99.9¢ | +292.08 | $292 | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +560.51 | $0.56 | |
| 3mo | llh | Yes / 99.9¢ | +560.51 | $560 | |
| 3mo | videlake | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,439.49 | $2.44K | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.1¢ | +2,439.49 | $2.44 | |
| 3mo | Akid | Yes / 99.9¢ | -271.08 | $271 | |
| 3mo | aiwhite | Yes / 99.9¢ | +271.08 | $271 | |
| 3mo | ClaudeAI | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.98K | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.2¢ | +10,000.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | ClaudeAI | Yes / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | sanfeng | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 9... | No / 0.3¢ | +43.19 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | ClaudeAI | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1,466.28 | $1.46K | |
| 3mo | 0xb532...768577 | No / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | latysh | No / 0.4¢ | +418.09 | $1.67 | |
| 3mo | OMN | No / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 |
1–25