
Volume
$266K
Txns
4,562
Traders
616
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
The U.S. federal budget deficit for December 2024 was $86,731,619,013.29 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2025 than in December 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -683.99 | $0.68 | |
| 4mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 0xf555BBccF9549fA2Fb513140744dFBE0f057b2D5-1720199302797 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.01 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 4eb | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 4mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 4eb | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 4mo | mygogogo | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,931.96 | $8.8 | |
| 4mo | KiraNid | Yes / 0.3¢ | +3,534.02 | $10 | |
| 4mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.8¢ | +602.06 | $601 | |
| 4mo | mygogogo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,401.94 | $2.8 | |
| 4mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.8¢ | +1,401.94 | $1.4K | |
| 4mo | mygogogo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +98.06 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | danial-etdolorum807 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.94 | $0 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.05 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | liamyxy2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy3 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | danial-etdolorum807 | No / 99.8¢ | +70.03 | $69.9 | |
| 4mo | liamyxy2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +13.99 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +13.99 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.79 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$242Kvolume
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
No 100%$163Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$288Kvolume
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
No 100%$196Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes 100%$446Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$745Kvolume