
Volume
$116K
Txns
4,251
Traders
977
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 3, 2025
This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 25,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.66Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$365Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$863Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$251Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$207Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$215Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | KravchukLeonid | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 11mo | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +375.37 | $375 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -325.37 | $325 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.26 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -36.74 | $36.7 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.13 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +12.13 | $12.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +27.61 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.39 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.4¢ | +1.79 | $1.78 | |
| 11mo | b72 | No / 99.4¢ | -1.79 | $1.78 |
1–25