
Volume
$59K
Txns
730
Traders
157
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a surplus for any month in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. If every month has not been published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | InsiderrrZ | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4,498.88 | $4.49K | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,253.25 | $3.25K | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,245.63 | $1.24K | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +293.17 | $293 | |
| 1y | kenshotme | No / 0.1¢ | +293.17 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,861.73 | $1.86K | |
| 1y | kenshotme | No / 0.1¢ | +1,706.82 | $1.71 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +154.91 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.3¢ | +1.54 | $0 | |
| 1y | mczxv | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1.54 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | lkhlhl | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1.91 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.3¢ | +1.91 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | lrqrq | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1.91 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.3¢ | +1.91 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.3¢ | +1.12 | $0 | |
| 1y | vbbvq | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1.12 | $1.12 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | +2.33 | $0 | |
| 1y | zcxrwe | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.33 | $2.33 | |
| 1y | ncvsde | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.50 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | +1.50 | $0 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | +2.11 | $0 | |
| 1y | opuruya | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.11 | $2.11 | |
| 1y | patosche | No / 0.2¢ | -193.82 | $0.39 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | +193.82 | $0.39 | |
| 1y | dhwueho | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.80 | $1.8 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 88%$0volume