
Volume
$80K
Txns
2,136
Traders
300
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between August 1, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$32Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.32Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54%$28Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$21.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.7¢ | -7.90 | $0.06 | |
| 9mo | 0x0a09...872a6a | No / 99.3¢ | -7.90 | $7.84 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | TeemuPukki | No / 99.9¢ | +881.52 | $881 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 99.9¢ | -771.52 | $771 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 9mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.2¢ | +19.00 | $0.04 | |
| 9mo | boboc | Yes / 0.1¢ | -239.00 | $0.31 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 99.9¢ | -180.00 | $180 | |
| 9mo | Haradwaith | No / 99.8¢ | -19.00 | $19 | |
| 9mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.00 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 9mo | Frieren68 | No / 99.4¢ | -10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -51.92 | $0.26 | |
| 9mo | Frieren68 | No / 99.5¢ | -51.92 | $51.7 | |
| 9mo | Haradwaith | No / 99.3¢ | +19.00 | $18.9 | |
| 9mo | daroghi | Yes / 1.1¢ | -11.00 | $0.12 | |
| 9mo | Frieren68 | No / 99.1¢ | -40.00 | $39.6 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 99.9¢ | -6.30 | $6.29 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.92 | $0.05 | |
| 9mo | Austin7883 | No / 99.8¢ | +145.51 | $145 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | -77.29 | $77.1 |
1–25