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Avg trade size
Active Since
May 19, 2025
Last Active
May 10, 2026
Buys
16,029
Sells
11,279
Redemptions
690
Merges
89
Volume
$19.9M
PnL Calendar
Performance Summary
Events Traded
Markets Traded
Markets Won
Markets Lost
Avg. Hold Time
Best Win
$51.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Best Day
Worst Day
Longest Win Streak
Longest Loss Streak
Current Streak
| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 António Guterres Yes -2,786.33 net shares | — / 0.5¢ | $26.9 | May 10, 2026 5:17 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No 115,491.89 net shares | 97.4¢ / 98.6¢ | $764 (1.3%) | May 9, 2026 5:57 AM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -46,113.76 net shares | 80.3¢ / 96.0¢ | $0 (19.5%) | May 6, 2026 3:34 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 93,835.50 net shares | 70.9¢ / 81.0¢ | $8.79K (14.3%) | Apr 22, 2026 6:48 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 46.9¢ / 72.0¢ | $0 (53.7%) | Apr 8, 2026 1:06 AM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 1,000.00 net shares | 25.0¢ / 35.0¢ | $100 (40.0%) | Apr 2, 2026 6:26 PM | |
 May 31 No 41.10 net shares | 82.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $4.52 (13.4%) | Apr 2, 2026 1:02 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No 59,516.83 net shares | 89.1¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (12.2%) | Mar 30, 2026 11:10 PM | |
 Park Heong-joon Yes 17.02 net shares | 9.9¢ / 35.0¢ | $0.01 (253.1%) | Mar 26, 2026 10:22 AM | |
 Kim Young-hwan No 40.00 net shares | 83.0¢ / 94.8¢ | $0 (14.2%) | Mar 16, 2026 1:19 AM | |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No 0.01 net shares | 85.4¢ / 86.4¢ | $0 (1.2%) | Mar 9, 2026 11:39 AM | |
 Greta Thunberg Yes -279.26 net shares | — / 1.2¢ | $4.47 | Mar 3, 2026 10:12 AM | |
 Umaro Sissoco Embaló No -149.99 net shares | 50.1¢ / 97.3¢ | $0 (94.2%) | Dec 16, 2025 11:37 PM | |
 Democratic Party of Korea (DP) Yes 5.00 net shares | 70.0¢ / 97.7¢ | $1.39 (39.6%) | Dec 2, 2025 10:44 PM | |
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy Yes -1,712.82 net shares | — / 5.8¢ | $49.7 | Nov 21, 2025 3:03 PM | |
 Chong Won-oh Yes 10.00 net shares | 13.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $3.9 (600.0%) | Nov 13, 2025 1:32 PM | |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? No 0.04 net shares | 62.3¢ / 98.6¢ | $0.02 (58.3%) | Nov 5, 2025 3:37 PM | |
 Donald Trump Yes -1,425.70 net shares | — / 7.0¢ | $257 | Oct 23, 2025 9:54 PM |
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