
Volume
$441K
Txns
4,662
Traders
291
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 90%$27.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.34Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 70%$26.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$20.1Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 4mo | 0x84c8...fe3ee8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 0x28cd4e68e540Df19234759B16BB4AE5a28cDc39c-1768347696047 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 4mo | elikoydal | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 4mo | LarMill | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +7.51 | $7.5 | |
| 4mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.51 | $7.5 | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | k0valn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | duderr | No / 99.9¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22K | |
| 4mo | chrisgreen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | +7,778.00 | $7.77K | |
| 4mo | 0x5317C12ad7EaFF1C21ADA466Ff0D92fA653A1930-1768341308796 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5,001.63 | $10 | |
| 4mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -666.12 | $2.66 | |
| 4mo | MasonsConqueredRome | No / 99.9¢ | +2,685.51 | $2.68K | |
| 4mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.7¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 4mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | Frenonski | No / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 4mo | zazazzazaazaa | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | zazazzazaazaa | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | MasonsConqueredRome | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | MasonsConqueredRome | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 |
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