
Volume
$636K
Txns
2,026
Traders
371
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 68%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 73%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | 0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.96 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.96 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Shotek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | BalancedFury | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2mo | 0xDFdc1c80d1E995534cC1557677bEb728b7E14d7A-1772318214625 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 2027tomoon | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2mo | iNeedMonies | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 2mo | radiator1989 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,145.54 | $2.15 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | Malganis | No / 99.9¢ | +11.96 | $11.9 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,933.58 | $1.93 | |
| 2mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0x2885...fc1afd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | jojomarcelo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Kinlam | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | ma99 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x5ee4...399904 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,066.42 | $1.07 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.1¢ | -433.58 | $0.43 |
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