
Volume
$636K
Txns
2,015
Traders
370
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.96 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.96 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Shotek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | BalancedFury | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | 0xDFdc1c80d1E995534cC1557677bEb728b7E14d7A-1772318214625 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 2027tomoon | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | iNeedMonies | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1mo | radiator1989 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,145.54 | $2.15 | |
| 1mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | Malganis | No / 99.9¢ | +11.96 | $11.9 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,933.58 | $1.93 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0x2885...fc1afd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | jojomarcelo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Kinlam | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ma99 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x5ee4...399904 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | Protrad | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,066.42 | $1.07 | |
| 1mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.1¢ | -433.58 | $0.43 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$39.4Mvolume
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Yes 100%$431Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.07Mvolume
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Yes 100%$220Kvolume
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
Yes 100%$56.3Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$1.46Mvolume