
Volume
$3K
Txns
152
Traders
48
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 97%$33.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$73.6Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$77.2Mvolume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
No 52%$588Kvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 54%$8.43Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 74%$2.65Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.43 | |
| 13m | 0xc868...6e7bd7 | No / 43.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.43 | |
| 13m | 0xd501DD1C724088c440F9BE43A88Bf242b98a1814-1774573287605 | No / 43.0¢ | -0.03 | $0.01 | |
| 13m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +0.03 | $0.01 | |
| 14m | 0x4b3e...eaff11 | No / 45.0¢ | +10.18 | $4.63 | |
| 14m | denizz | No / 45.0¢ | -10.18 | $4.58 | |
| 26m | 0xc868...6e7bd7 | No / 43.0¢ | -2.50 | $1.07 | |
| 26m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +2.50 | $1.07 | |
| 27m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +0.09 | $0.04 | |
| 27m | 0xd501DD1C724088c440F9BE43A88Bf242b98a1814-1774573287605 | No / 43.0¢ | -0.09 | $0.04 | |
| 27m | KylianMbapu | Yes / 55.0¢ | -25.00 | $13.8 | |
| 27m | denizz | No / 45.0¢ | -25.00 | $11.3 | |
| 33m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +2.50 | $1.07 | |
| 33m | 0xc868...6e7bd7 | No / 43.0¢ | -2.50 | $1.07 | |
| 33m | 0xd501DD1C724088c440F9BE43A88Bf242b98a1814-1774573287605 | No / 43.0¢ | -0.09 | $0.04 | |
| 33m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +0.09 | $0.04 | |
| 33m | denizz | No / 45.0¢ | -25.00 | $11.3 | |
| 33m | bertross | No / 45.0¢ | +25.00 | $11.3 | |
| 37m | 0xc868...6e7bd7 | No / 43.0¢ | -0.27 | $0.12 | |
| 37m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +0.27 | $0.12 | |
| 37m | denizz | No / 45.0¢ | -2.73 | $1.23 | |
| 37m | cgfcgf | No / 45.0¢ | +2.73 | $1.23 | |
| 38m | dropmeplease | No / 43.0¢ | +0.44 | $0.19 | |
| 38m | 0xc868...6e7bd7 | No / 43.0¢ | -0.44 | $0.19 | |
| 38m | denizz | No / 45.0¢ | -4.44 | $2 |
1–25