| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? NoPolitics 197.70 shares | — / 55.0¢ | $114 | $0 | $4.92 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:20 PM | |
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? NoTech 39.88 shares | 24.5¢ / 56.0¢ | $12.5 (128.3%) | $9.78 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:18 PM | |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 110 mph? YesWeather 27.66 shares | 8.0¢ / 11.0¢ | $14.4 (300.3%) | $4.8 · 3 | $0 | $16.2 | Jul 16, 2026 7:16 PM | |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 6.2¢ / 3.8¢ | $64.1 (264.3%) | $23.4 · 22 | $7.62 · 2 | $80 | Jul 16, 2026 7:16 PM | |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? YesPolitics 40.00 shares | 13.5¢ / 8.0¢ | -$2.2 (-40.7%) | $5.4 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:16 PM | |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 26.0¢ / 13.7¢ | -$2.46 (-47.3%) | $5.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:15 PM | |
 Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 3.0¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0.58 (-96.7%) | $0.6 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:15 PM | |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? NoPolitics 4.88 shares | 74.9¢ / 54.0¢ | -$3.92 (-5.5%) | $70.9 · 5 | $64.6 · 4 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:15 PM | |
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? NoTech 180.00 shares | 58.4¢ / 53.0¢ | $13.6 (16.6%) | $81.8 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:14 PM | |
30.0¢ / 43.0¢ | $10.4 (254.7%) | $4.07 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:13 PM | ||
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? NoPolitics 2,381.25 shares | 96.9¢ / 96.3¢ | -$201 (-7.5%) | $2.69K · 140 | $0 | $199 | Jul 16, 2026 7:13 PM | |
69.0¢ / 57.0¢ | -$0.26 (-17.4%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:13 PM | ||
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July? YesEconomics 15.00 shares | 19.5¢ / 23.0¢ | $1.26 (19.6%) | $6.33 · 2 | $4.25 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:12 PM | |
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? NoEconomics 62.00 shares | 87.3¢ / 76.9¢ | $34.1 (69.8%) | $48.9 · 3 | $30.8 · 2 | $4.5 | Jul 16, 2026 7:12 PM | |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph? YesWeather 20.00 shares | 35.0¢ / 83.4¢ | $15.7 (74.7%) | $21 · 5 | $0 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 7:12 PM | |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? NoPolitics 20.00 shares | 91.3¢ / 67.3¢ | -$13.1 (-35.8%) | $36.5 · 3 | $0 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 7:11 PM | |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? NoFinance 68.00 shares | 14.5¢ / 62.0¢ | $32.3 (326.7%) | $9.88 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:10 PM | |
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? YesPolitics 8.76 shares | 18.0¢ / 21.0¢ | $1.04 (130.7%) | $0.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:09 PM | |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 24.09 shares | 66.1¢ / 57.4¢ | -$56.4 (-23.7%) | $238 · 21 | $0 | $168 | Jul 16, 2026 7:09 PM | |
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? NoPolitics 19.99 shares | 81.0¢ / 79.0¢ | -$0.4 (-2.5%) | $16.2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:09 PM | |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? YesCulture 30.00 shares | 11.7¢ / 0.4¢ | $42.6 (243.5%) | $17.5 · 5 | $0 | $60 | Jul 16, 2026 7:08 PM | |
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 85.3¢ / 88.0¢ | -$3 (-11.7%) | $25.6 · 4 | $0 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 7:07 PM | |
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June? YesEconomics 27.73 shares | 37.7¢ / 32.0¢ | -$12.1 (-53.7%) | $22.6 · 4 | $1.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:04 PM | |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? YesSports 20.00 shares | 27.3¢ / 18.1¢ | -$1.84 (-33.7%) | $5.46 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:03 PM | |
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? YesPolitics 26.80 shares | 15.3¢ / 5.4¢ | $13.5 (38.8%) | $34.8 · 14 | $5 · 1 | $41.8 | Jul 16, 2026 7:03 PM |
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