
Volume
$368K
Txns
4,171
Traders
560
Fees
$1,466
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 78%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
No 66%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 70%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 52%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | BettingBoi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -135.55 | $135 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +135.55 | $135 | |
| 1mo | BielBitcoin | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | predictdogepepewif | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | thecaricature | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,655.29 | $1.65K | |
| 1mo | fuiro | Yes / 99.9¢ | -29.43 | $29.4 | |
| 1mo | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -25.86 | $25.8 | |
| 1mo | cripes3 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,003.00 | $3K | |
| 1mo | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -139.70 | $140 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,463.30 | $2.46K | |
| 1mo | solomillo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 1mo | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.10 | $100 | |
| 1mo | youareaidiot | Yes / 99.9¢ | +78.30 | $78.2 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -78.30 | $78.2 | |
| 1mo | youareaidiot | Yes / 99.8¢ | +42.99 | $42.9 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -32.99 | $32.9 | |
| 1mo | croy | Yes / 98.5¢ | -33.00 | $32.5 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 98.6¢ | +33.00 | $32.5 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1mo | eightrock | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 98.6¢ | +60.00 | $59.2 |
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