
Volume
$265K
Txns
3,827
Traders
560
Fees
$1,458
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55m | BettingBoi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -135.55 | $135 | |
| 55m | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +135.55 | $135 | |
| 57m | BielBitcoin | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 57m | predictdogepepewif | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 57m | thecaricature | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 57m | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,655.29 | $1.65K | |
| 57m | fuiro | Yes / 99.9¢ | -29.43 | $29.4 | |
| 57m | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -25.86 | $25.8 | |
| 57m | cripes3 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 57m | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 57m | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,003.00 | $3K | |
| 57m | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -139.70 | $140 | |
| 57m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,463.30 | $2.46K | |
| 57m | solomillo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 57m | ChaseR | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.10 | $100 | |
| 1h | youareaidiot | Yes / 99.9¢ | +78.30 | $78.2 | |
| 1h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -78.30 | $78.2 | |
| 1h | youareaidiot | Yes / 99.8¢ | +42.99 | $42.9 | |
| 1h | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1h | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -32.99 | $32.9 | |
| 1h | croy | Yes / 98.5¢ | -33.00 | $32.5 | |
| 1h | Colala | Yes / 98.6¢ | +33.00 | $32.5 | |
| 1h | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1h | eightrock | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1h | Colala | Yes / 98.6¢ | +60.00 | $59.2 |
1–25
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Yes 100%$198Kvolume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Yes 100%$172Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 87%$804Kvolume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Yes 100%$106Kvolume
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
No 100%$87Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume