
Volume
$297K
Txns
3,586
Traders
383
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Leneska vultysia and the eastern portion of Yablunivka in Yablunivka by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yablunivka+Intersection.jpg Yablunivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yablunivka1.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/x2Bi9z1n4tRKDGdZ8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 84%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 79%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ilogprediction | No / 99.9¢ | -737.24 | $737 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +737.24 | $737 | |
| 1y | daoxin | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -137.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ChrisTopherLynch | No / 99.6¢ | -33.32 | $33.2 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -33.32 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | ratue | Yes / 0.2¢ | +101.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.2¢ | -101.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -516.33 | $2.07 | |
| 1y | viktorurolog16 | No / 99.6¢ | -1,000.00 | $996 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -301.61 | $1.21 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -182.06 | $0.73 | |
| 1y | buoys | No / 99.6¢ | -156.99 | $156 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -67.98 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -89.01 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | leCommissaire | No / 99.6¢ | -360.46 | $359 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -37.82 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | -322.64 | $1.29 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -1.25 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | sweetnose | No / 99.6¢ | -1.25 | $1.25 | |
| 1y | tt-3 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -9.49 | $0.09 |
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