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This market will resolve according to the country that wins (achieves the highest total team score) the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO). In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team representing USA. If no tied team represents USA, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose country's listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the 2025 IMO is canceled and no final results are published by August 31, 2025, ET this market will resolve to "Other." The resolutions source will be the final published results from the IMO (https://www.imo-official.org/year_country_r.aspx?year=2025&column=total&order=desc)
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$72.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.2Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.49Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 87%$2.11Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 97%$818Kvolume
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
No 99%$264Kvolume