
Volume
$2M
Txns
10,562
Traders
1,424
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | L.X | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +989.99 | $989 | |
| 5mo | Nsnyjxkkckdlldkd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | DistortedReality | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,000.00 | $4 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 5mo | Primejay | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Shoibaliam | Yes / 0.1¢ | -514.29 | $0.51 | |
| 5mo | Domador | No / 99.9¢ | -514.29 | $514 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -9,999.94 | $10 | |
| 5mo | Domador | No / 99.9¢ | -9,999.94 | $9.99K | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | LazzyBear | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | Domador | No / 99.9¢ | -2,407.39 | $2.4K | |
| 5mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,907.39 | $1.91 | |
| 5mo | 0xDb298724e5A2211924B3417b829628f87014fAB8-1751036465736 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x8CD79Dc1D255FD5189568AC4F042Def96d48F8bF-1768052248028 | No / 99.9¢ | -27.35 | $27.3 | |
| 5mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -27.35 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x468f...6fb94c | No / 99.9¢ | -5.04 | $5.03 | |
| 5mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.04 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.03 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 0x141c...78ae86 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x32fa...7e5e80 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 71%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 70%$0volume