Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$185K
Txns
3,748
Traders
947
Fees
$6
Liquidity
$21,987
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$185K
Txns
3,748
Traders
947
Fees
$6
Liquidity
$21,987
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 89%$26.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.98Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 73%$25.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 89%$3.22Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$19.7Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0x435c...388a18 | No / 85.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.29 | |
| 1h | 0xf32d...f2c973 | No / 85.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.29 | |
| 2h | 0xd7bd...57de67 | No / 85.8¢ | -9.00 | $7.72 | |
| 2h | 0xd7d6...c41bf8 | No / 85.8¢ | +9.00 | $7.72 | |
| 3h | RememberAmalek | Yes / 13.1¢ | +25.41 | $3.33 | |
| 3h | Ty564r | Yes / 13.1¢ | -25.41 | $3.33 | |
| 8h | planktonXD | Yes / 13.2¢ | +90.00 | $11.9 | |
| 8h | Colala | No / 85.6¢ | -33.60 | $28.8 | |
| 8h | Lavincey | Yes / 13.6¢ | +30.00 | $4.08 | |
| 8h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 13.3¢ | +46.00 | $6.12 | |
| 8h | 49ddgfd | Yes / 14.4¢ | +8.48 | $1.22 | |
| 8h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 13.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.67 | |
| 8h | 0x223b1E457964577Ff4FB18c7F40f454433b885df-1768735176852 | Yes / 13.4¢ | -279.71 | $37.5 | |
| 8h | RememberAmalek | Yes / 13.1¢ | +66.63 | $8.73 | |
| 10h | 49ddgfd | Yes / 16.8¢ | -5.95 | $1 | |
| 10h | 0x36Bf981D6397252a84d376870CfE147b2c997d9e-1779130103537 | Yes / 16.8¢ | +5.95 | $1 | |
| 11h | 0x90e1...871447 | No / 84.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 11h | 0x2d34...2adb47 | No / 84.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 13h | 0x30f1...fb3bc6 | No / 84.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 13h | 0xd989...f89da4 | No / 84.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 16h | 0xf3d6...585536 | No / 84.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 16h | 0x5b37...5b57d8 | No / 84.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 17h | 0xcba6...feab49 | No / 84.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 17h | 0x1e80...d17176 | No / 84.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.24 | |
| 17h | 0x79f9...94f030 | No / 84.7¢ | -6.00 | $5.08 |
1–25