
Volume
$77K
Txns
1,567
Traders
260
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | ggmggn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | nofear763 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x22Ca410f9d4730c3Ee2FeAd439a4ec1450251495-1768487085128 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.55 | $1.55 | |
| 4mo | 0x96ef...add98a | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.55 | $1.55 | |
| 4mo | ma99 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | spacegliderr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 4mo | MartinaCandombe | No / 0.1¢ | -299.99 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | BeN | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | b4k9xj2wh | Yes / 99.8¢ | +75.00 | $74.8 | |
| 4mo | ManojWarRoom | Yes / 99.8¢ | -75.00 | $74.8 | |
| 4mo | b4k9xj2wh | Yes / 99.8¢ | +29.41 | $29.4 | |
| 4mo | 0x5839D5A69C738538c03D123ea179080B5CD82Fc4-1772548614189 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -29.41 | $29.4 | |
| 4mo | b4k9xj2wh | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 4mo | 0xe823...35f70b | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +684.47 | $684 | |
| 4mo | Simon4s | No / 0.1¢ | +684.47 | $0.68 | |
| 4mo | Shonan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.47 | $1.47 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.47 | $1.47 | |
| 4mo | chaztoday | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.04 | $4.04 | |
| 4mo | BrightStars | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.04 | $4.04 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 71%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 94%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume