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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? YesPolitics 24,247.09 shares | 22.1¢ / 35.1¢ | $8.79K (72.8%) | $12.1K · 24 | $12.3K · 23 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:59 AM | |
![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 613,664.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$184K (-4.2%) | $4.4M | $0 | $4.09M | Jul 29, 2026 2:50 AM | |
![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 613,664.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 80.0¢ | $184K (4.2%) | $4.4M | $0 | $4.09M | Jul 29, 2026 2:50 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 533,048.29 shares | 12.5¢ / 11.0¢ | -$7.27K (-10.4%) | $69.7K · 272 | $3.8K · 9 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:46 AM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? YesPolitics 1,934.58 shares | 28.6¢ / 28.0¢ | -$11.9 (-2.1%) | $554 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:40 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 113,267.72 shares | 15.4¢ / 9.0¢ | -$7.4K (-41.6%) | $17.8K · 112 | $203 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:18 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? YesPolitics 40,000.00 shares | 99.8¢ / 99.9¢ | $40 (0.1%) | $39.9K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:50 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? YesPolitics 10,023.88 shares | 4.0¢ / 3.5¢ | -$50 (-12.5%) | $401 · 16 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:41 AM | |
![]() Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? NoPolitics 29,124.71 shares | 94.6¢ / 97.9¢ | $1.44K (2.9%) | $49.4K · 12 | $22.3K · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:30 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 28.75 shares | 57.4¢ / 72.0¢ | $4.19 (25.4%) | $16.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:19 AM | |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? YesPolitics 176,688.29 shares | 90.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $16K (9.7%) | $165K · 25 | $4.55K · 20 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:17 AM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? YesPolitics 2,431.87 shares | 4.4¢ / 1.9¢ | -$60.7 (-56.8%) | $107 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:28 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 841,428.74 shares | 4.2¢ / 0.4¢ | -$25.5K (-63.2%) | $40.4K · 264 | $11.5K · 9 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:10 PM | |
![]() Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary electio… NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.09 shares | 99.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $93.7 (0.4%) | $25.4K · 5 | $25.5K · 56 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 10:28 PM | |
![]() Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.07 shares | 97.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.2 (0.4%) | $291 · 3 | $292 · 14 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:33 AM | |
![]() Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 89.1¢ / 100.0¢ | -$2K (-23.2%) | $8.61K · 24 | $6.62K · 161 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 12:34 AM |
1–16
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 31.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $348K (130.8%) | $266K · 187 | $33.6K · 94 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 18.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $169K (340.9%) | $49.5K · 84 | $13.2K · 24 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? WonNoPolitics | 58.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $84.7K (59.2%) | $143K · 69 | $4.42K · 25 | $0 | May 26, 2026 3:26 AM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 55.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $63.2K (37.8%) | $167K · 100 | $21.4K · 13 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:49 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 82.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $41.3K (18.0%) | $229K · 111 | $170K · 2 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 1:25 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 72.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $33.8K (38.1%) | $88.8K · 67 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:48 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 72.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $33.5K (38.4%) | $87.3K · 85 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:48 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 24? WonYesPolitics | 27.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $30.1K (70.8%) | $42.5K · 136 | $72.7K · 55 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:31 AM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 96.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $16.9K (4.0%) | $422K · 5 | $197K · 11 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 1:10 AM | |
13.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $12.9K (658.1%) | $1.96K · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:25 AM | ||
89.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.23K (2.5%) | $375K · 257 | $55.5K · 90 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 11:48 PM | ||
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 98.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.14K (1.6%) | $510K · 219 | $59.7K · 5 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 12:36 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 34.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.15K (41.9%) | $14.7K · 65 | $5.35K · 85 | $15.5K | Apr 16, 2026 2:54 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 87.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.56K (13.1%) | $42.5K · 35 | $14.8K · 33 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:35 PM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? WonNoPolitics | 68.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.27K (16.9%) | $31.2K · 4 | $1.68K · 5 | $0 | May 26, 2026 1:48 AM | |
![]() Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? WonYesPolitics | 51.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.99K (50.3%) | $9.93K · 25 | $8.98K · 80 | $0 | Jun 8, 2026 12:40 AM | |
![]() Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics | 97.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.41K (1.1%) | $407K · 442 | $412K · 37 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:02 PM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 27? WonYesPolitics | 16.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.91K (424.1%) | $921 · 2 | $4.83K · 16 | $0 | May 31, 2026 2:08 PM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 84.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.77K (6.8%) | $55.6K · 35 | $4.56K · 10 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 1:54 AM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 83.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.12K (13.0%) | $24K · 20 | $27.1K · 3 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 94.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.07K (2.3%) | $132K · 91 | $10.5K · 27 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:14 PM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 93.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.06K (6.8%) | $45.2K · 119 | $0 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 2:24 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 93.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.88K (7.2%) | $39.9K · 51 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 10:40 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 79.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.59K (14.2%) | $18.3K · 10 | $20.9K · 33 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 1:36 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? WonNoPolitics | 98.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.49K (1.5%) | $168K · 93 | $0 | $0 | Mar 7, 2026 12:51 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
286
Won
209
Lost
49
Win Rate
81.0%
Profit Factor
6.36x
Avg Win
$4.51K
Avg Loss
-$3.02K
Total Wins
$942K
Total Losses
-$148K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield