
Volume
$193
Txns
13
Traders
9
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$32
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h | wilewile123412341234 | Yes / 68.0¢ | +29.41 | $20.3 | |
| 13h | AJSV | No / 32.0¢ | +29.41 | $9.41 | |
| 6d | Fuadkrm7 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 6d | 0x91ea...b6a6e5 | No / 99.1¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 7d | AJSV | Yes / 3.0¢ | +30.00 | $0.9 | |
| 7d | od827394 | Yes / 2.9¢ | -30.00 | $0.86 | |
| 7d | godblessme2026 | No / 98.0¢ | +29.97 | $29.4 | |
| 7d | AJSV | Yes / 3.0¢ | +3.34 | $0.1 | |
| 7d | Fuadkrm7 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +26.66 | $0.53 | |
| 7d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +30.00 | $1.8 | |
| 7d | nice5894723 | No / 94.3¢ | +29.92 | $28.2 | |
| 7d | BTCOG | No / 25.0¢ | +100.00 | $25 | |
| 7d | WeatherHK | Yes / 75.7¢ | +99.06 | $75 |
1–13
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Yes 99%$3.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 99%$13.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 86%$11.6Mvolume
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Yes 99%$4.44Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100%$38.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$29.1Mvolume