
Volume
$410K
Txns
4,573
Traders
640
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
On April 4, China implemented a series of restrictions on the export of a variety of rare earth metals. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government officially lifts, removes, or reduces any of the export restrictions placed on rare earth metals on April 4, between July 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The issuance of a qualifying official act by China within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or reduction of the stated export ban does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 87%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$0volume
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +178.20 | $176 | |
| 8mo | 0xb20b...228da0 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -178.20 | $176 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +15.43 | $15.3 | |
| 8mo | 0xb20b...228da0 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -15.43 | $15.3 | |
| 8mo | BarronTateJr | Yes / 99.0¢ | -0.63 | $0.62 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +0.63 | $0.62 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +0.26 | $0.26 | |
| 8mo | BarronTateJr | Yes / 99.0¢ | -0.26 | $0.26 | |
| 8mo | BarronTateJr | Yes / 99.0¢ | -0.07 | $0.07 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +0.07 | $0.07 | |
| 8mo | bulish1001 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -110.00 | $109 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +110.00 | $109 | |
| 8mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +762.63 | $755 | |
| 8mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | -762.63 | $755 | |
| 8mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1,758.60 | $1.74K | |
| 8mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | -2,685.40 | $2.66K | |
| 8mo | duderr | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.4K | |
| 8mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | -500.00 | $495 | |
| 8mo | InsuranceSavesMe | Yes / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 8mo | BarronTateJr | Yes / 97.0¢ | -0.02 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | 25usdc | Yes / 97.0¢ | +0.02 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | 0x3b78...f82637 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +8.94 | $8.85 | |
| 8mo | LukeAlpha | No / 1.0¢ | +250.00 | $2.5 | |
| 8mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | -157.04 | $155 | |
| 8mo | 0xeb9d...8fe31b | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,010.10 | $1000 |
1–25