
Volume
$617K
Txns
8,224
Traders
1,495
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$23,795
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$28.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 56%$27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 97%$4.32Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.72Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 50%$7.99Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0x72e0...030b96 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.83 | $0.82 | |
| 1h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.83 | $0.01 | |
| 4h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.26 | $0 | |
| 4h | 0x7449...98c05e | No / 99.3¢ | -0.26 | $0.26 | |
| 8h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.11 | $0 | |
| 8h | 0x1e63...1d7267 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.11 | $0.11 | |
| 8h | 0x01d2...7bc603 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.64 | $0.64 | |
| 8h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.64 | $0 | |
| 8h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.22 | $0.22 | |
| 8h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.22 | $0 | |
| 9h | 0x97c6...306587 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.21 | $0.21 | |
| 9h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.21 | $0 | |
| 9h | 0x6a07...412952 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.12 | $0.12 | |
| 9h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.12 | $0 | |
| 9h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -1.50 | $0.01 | |
| 9h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | No / 99.3¢ | -1.50 | $1.49 | |
| 9h | gorovi | No / 99.5¢ | -1.71 | $1.7 | |
| 9h | 0x8db8...37c3f0 | No / 99.5¢ | +1.71 | $1.7 | |
| 9h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.24 | $0 | |
| 9h | 0x227b...a376f9 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.24 | $0.24 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -1.90 | $0.01 | |
| 10h | 0x7449...98c05e | No / 99.3¢ | -1.90 | $1.89 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -0.11 | $0 | |
| 10h | 0xf4c0...5bf9b2 | No / 99.3¢ | -0.11 | $0.11 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.7¢ | -153.90 | $1.08 |
1–25