Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ResolvedVolume
$12K
Txns
119
Traders
56
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$12K
Txns
119
Traders
56
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | The-Joker | Yes / 99.7¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 3mo | Evangelinekk | No / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | mygogogo | No / 0.2¢ | +1,417.88 | $2.84 | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | The-Joker | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,577.88 | $5.57K | |
| 3mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 3mo | mygogogo | No / 0.2¢ | +2.12 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0xb5af...9e2672 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.12 | $2.12 | |
| 3mo | calm.rabbit | Yes / 99.7¢ | -425.10 | $424 | |
| 3mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.7¢ | +425.10 | $424 | |
| 3mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 3mo | mygogogo | No / 0.2¢ | +80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 3mo | Biver52 | No / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | AJSV | No / 0.3¢ | +20.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | KIaus | No / 2.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 2.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 2.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | KIaus | No / 2.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 2.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | KIaus | No / 2.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 1.9¢ | +1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 1.9¢ | -1.01 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +622.47 | $622 | |
| 3mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +622.47 | $0.62 | |
| 3mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
1–25
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