Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$435K
Txns
3,331
Traders
707
Fees
$165
Liquidity
$37,643
Ends
Volume
$435K
Txns
3,331
Traders
707
Fees
$165
Liquidity
$37,643
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | trader-x42 | No / 99.1¢ | +4.93 | $4.89 | |
| 3h | duginchan | No / 99.1¢ | -4.93 | $4.89 | |
| 3h | 0xff09...ff25ab | No / 99.1¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 3h | duginchan | No / 99.1¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 3h | elmcap2 | No / 98.9¢ | +4.88 | $4.83 | |
| 3h | iliabouchouev | No / 98.9¢ | -4.88 | $4.82 | |
| 1d | 0x4978...eca5b2 | No / 99.2¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 1d | Jjw | No / 99.2¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0x2b4a...8f7bd0 | No / 99.2¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 1d | Jjw | No / 99.2¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0xd10f...cf154d | No / 98.9¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 1d | elmcap2 | No / 98.9¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 2d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No / 98.8¢ | +5.08 | $5.02 | |
| 2d | vsdfsdfew | No / 98.8¢ | -5.08 | $5.02 | |
| 2d | 0x8fff...770482 | No / 98.9¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 2d | KorsNeo | No / 98.9¢ | -5.70 | $5.63 | |
| 2d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 1.1¢ | -0.70 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | libratus1 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | KorsNeo | No / 99.0¢ | +1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | KorsNeo | No / 99.0¢ | +1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | libratus1 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | KorsNeo | No / 99.0¢ | +1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | libratus1 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | KorsNeo | No / 99.0¢ | +1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | libratus1 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.14 | $1.13 |
1–25
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