
Volume
$19K
Txns
1,227
Traders
148
Fees
$0
Ends
May 10, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 4, 2026, through May 10, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$15.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 97%$32.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$73.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 54%$8.41Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$77.1Mvolume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
No 54%$549Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,001.97 | $1 | |
| 1mo | moneysaver1 | No / 99.9¢ | -49.13 | $49.1 | |
| 1mo | Stonktrader | No / 99.9¢ | +1,051.10 | $1.05K | |
| 1mo | 0x95cEf3c2466f7bF9349500Ee7C874ADAEf95981a-1772600612527 | No / 99.8¢ | -15.08 | $15 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.2¢ | -15.08 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.17 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | BillyBoy94 | No / 99.9¢ | +200.20 | $200 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.03 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | AnarcoFinance12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +692.87 | $1.39 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.83 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | i18z | No / 99.8¢ | +744.70 | $743 | |
| 1mo | AnarcoFinance12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +186.39 | $0.37 | |
| 1mo | i18z | No / 99.8¢ | +186.39 | $186 | |
| 1mo | AnarcoFinance12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.01 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | i18z | No / 99.8¢ | +9.01 | $8.99 | |
| 1mo | AnarcoFinance12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +91.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1mo | cashmashine | No / 99.8¢ | +91.00 | $90.8 | |
| 1mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +3.70 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | northdrawer | No / 99.7¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.86 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +6.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.44 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | graynotebook19 | No / 99.8¢ | +180.00 | $180 |
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