
Volume
$37K
Txns
334
Traders
89
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 13, 2025
On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes." Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 72%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | jerabc | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | DonKarabas | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | drox | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | peasant | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Arkanzas | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | burya4ok | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | peasant | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,432.00 | $1.43K | |
| 1y | mar1nettik | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | taRanTasik | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | BurKinch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | jerabc | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | limmares | Yes / 99.9¢ | -34.00 | $34 | |
| 1y | Qarteeeng | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | shsh1 | No / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | drox | No / 0.2¢ | +77.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | 0x3a35...5a16c4 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -145.00 | $145 | |
| 1y | peasant | Yes / 99.8¢ | +232.00 | $232 | |
| 1y | peasant | Yes / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 1y | helloboys | Yes / 99.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | No / 0.5¢ | +2,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | drox | No / 0.5¢ | +29.92 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | peasant | Yes / 99.5¢ | +2,029.92 | $2.02K | |
| 1y | iamhungry | Yes / 98.5¢ | +66.67 | $65.7 |
1–25