
Volume
$321K
Txns
4,008
Traders
592
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | Legacy.crypto | No / 99.9¢ | -136.49 | $136 | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +136.49 | $136 | |
| 4mo | 0x6608f808d4CFf3e5fE7DC6aCf5e5D0bA862e35D3-1767865975026 | No / 99.9¢ | -3,269.84 | $3.27K | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +650.48 | $650 | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11K | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +397.36 | $397 | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11K | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +459.46 | $459 | |
| 4mo | MrMelonHead | No / 99.9¢ | -459.46 | $459 | |
| 4mo | EMA263 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 4mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 0x24Bb267D0Eed85CDe28714bC7DcBf5e0a977C9f5-1773073480607 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | Cloverince | No / 99.9¢ | +2,476.28 | $2.47K | |
| 4mo | TrumpLovesTACOs | No / 99.9¢ | -170.00 | $170 | |
| 4mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.28 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Kolesnikov-neiroset | No / 99.8¢ | -87.16 | $87 | |
| 4mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.2¢ | -87.16 | $0.17 | |
| 4mo | droopyal | No / 99.9¢ | +91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 4mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.29 | $0 | |
| 4mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +88.71 | $0.09 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 82%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume