
Volume
$6,530
Txns
442
Traders
80
Fees
$30
Liquidity
$26,521
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 95% · $9.59M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 69% · $8.4M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $36.4M volume
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Yes 95% · $3.2M volume
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Yes 91% · $1.31M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal before Trump visits China?
No 86% · $135K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 53.0¢ | -18.87 | $10 | |
| 4m | Centaurspencer | No / 53.5¢ | +18.68 | $10 | |
| 12m | Colala | Yes / 48.0¢ | +30.00 | $14.4 | |
| 12m | Daviddu0813 | Yes / 47.0¢ | +322.31 | $151 | |
| 12m | Dr.PNL | No / 53.0¢ | -17.36 | $9.2 | |
| 12m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 53.0¢ | -30.33 | $16.1 | |
| 12m | Relaccsed | No / 53.5¢ | +396.01 | $212 | |
| 1h | 0xfD8e383bF5B5f4fD89d259F60e94214346724A37-1773331673237 | No / 53.0¢ | +7.69 | $4.08 | |
| 1h | perepuk | No / 53.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.6 | |
| 1h | Daviddu0813 | Yes / 47.5¢ | +27.41 | $13 | |
| 1h | perepuk | Yes / 44.0¢ | +8.93 | $3.93 | |
| 1h | 0x87Bd90bd128E2D7fc97B84F394E981c1F2938A3e-1778081428728 | No / 56.6¢ | +8.84 | $5 | |
| 2h | perepuk | Yes / 44.0¢ | +3.57 | $1.57 | |
| 2h | 0x05af44233674689e5a329EE08e4A62dd9C125139-1769001928287 | No / 56.6¢ | +3.54 | $2 | |
| 2h | belove | Yes / 48.0¢ | -20.00 | $9.6 | |
| 2h | 0x9d55430dd6651603A5c16DD4E9Ae04ef7Cc8eDDE-1759756671749 | No / 52.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.6 | |
| 2h | nani | No / 51.0¢ | -25.00 | $12.8 | |
| 3h | Maximus374 | No / 53.0¢ | +100.00 | $53 | |
| 3h | cubandave29 | No / 52.0¢ | -100.00 | $52 | |
| 3h | airy | Yes / 46.0¢ | -54.72 | $25.2 | |
| 3h | perepuk | No / 54.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.8 | |
| 3h | cubandave29 | No / 53.0¢ | -74.72 | $39.6 | |
| 3h | cubandave29 | No / 55.0¢ | -9.09 | $5 | |
| 3h | Shash4 | No / 55.5¢ | +9.00 | $5 | |
| 3h | puravida | Yes / 44.0¢ | -2.04 | $0.9 |
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