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![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 91.08 shares | 50.9¢ / 98.8¢ | $67.8 (40.5%) | $167 · 6 | $145 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:39 AM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 16.70 shares | 73.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $2.34 (19.2%) | $12.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:39 AM | |
![]() Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YesPolitics 35.11 shares | 73.5¢ / 78.5¢ | $4.24 (8.7%) | $48.8 · 5 | $25.4 · 3 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:37 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 148.54 shares | 54.4¢ / 1.2¢ | -$75.8 (-38.8%) | $195 · 19 | $118 · 6 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:36 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? YesPolitics 318.59 shares | 9.3¢ / 3.3¢ | -$19 (-64.4%) | $28.3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:34 AM | |
![]() President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? YesSports 46.28 shares | — / 94.5¢ | $47.9 (289172.5%) | $0 | $4.14 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:33 AM | |
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? YesPolitics 29.19 shares | 80.8¢ / 96.3¢ | $4.52 (19.2%) | $23.4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:31 AM | |
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? NoPolitics 219.68 shares | 10.4¢ / 3.7¢ | -$14.8 (-64.6%) | $22 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:31 AM | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 82.01 shares | 51.5¢ / 59.0¢ | $8.59 (4.3%) | $193 · 7 | $159 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:24 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? NoPolitics 37.07 shares | 81.0¢ / 96.1¢ | $5.41 (12.0%) | $45 · 3 | $14.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:20 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 158.59 shares | 37.0¢ / 44.0¢ | $65.5 (1513.3%) | $4.33 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:20 AM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NoPolitics 51.53 shares | 39.4¢ / 53.0¢ | $7.02 (34.6%) | $20.3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:19 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? YesPolitics 52.47 shares | 20.0¢ / 3.7¢ | -$8.55 (-81.5%) | $10.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:15 AM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YesPolitics 21.35 shares | 46.0¢ / 47.0¢ | $8.81 (717.0%) | $1.23 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:13 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? NoPolitics 13.62 shares | 93.0¢ / 98.5¢ | $0.75 (5.9%) | $12.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 10:01 AM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 19.22 shares | 50.0¢ / 41.0¢ | -$1.73 (-18.0%) | $9.61 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 9:57 AM | |
![]() Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 147.69 shares | 24.8¢ / 25.4¢ | -$2.42 (-3.3%) | $71.1 · 6 | $33.4 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 9:47 AM | |
![]() Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 105.30 shares | 36.3¢ / 40.8¢ | $6.24 (8.1%) | $75 · 3 | $40.2 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 9:03 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 15.66 shares | 55.0¢ / 70.0¢ | $2.19 (12.5%) | $17.5 · 1 | $8.75 · 3 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 8:49 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 20.16 shares | 71.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $3.18 (18.0%) | $17.7 · 1 | $3.3 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 8:37 AM | |
![]() Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? YesPolitics 125.09 shares | 58.9¢ / 56.0¢ | -$6.73 (-3.3%) | $202 · 17 | $125 · 19 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:51 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 75.40 shares | 74.7¢ / 94.0¢ | $15.6 (13.8%) | $113 · 3 | $57.3 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:43 AM | |
![]() Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? YesPolitics 14.04 shares | 62.2¢ / 65.0¢ | $0.26 (2.3%) | $11.1 · 1 | $2.48 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:35 AM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 22.69 shares | 91.2¢ / 96.5¢ | $1.15 (2.2%) | $52.6 · 5 | $31.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:16 AM | |
![]() IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? NoPolitics 11.02 shares | 86.2¢ / 99.0¢ | $1.41 (14.8%) | $9.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 6:22 AM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? WonYesPolitics | 12.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $205 (173.3%) | $118 · 14 | $323 · 7 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 2:28 PM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 23.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $199 (79.8%) | $249 · 11 | $448 · 7 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 34.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $152 (41.0%) | $372 · 43 | $524 · 69 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 24? WonNoPolitics | 48.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $102 (175.9%) | $57.8 · 6 | $159 · 4 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:30 AM | |
6.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $72 (82.2%) | $87.6 · 2 | $160 · 1 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 12:32 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 49.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $61.9 (43.3%) | $143 · 15 | $129 · 7 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:33 PM | |
38.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $58.4 (156.9%) | $36.3 · 8 | $95.6 · 2 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 12:31 AM | ||
41.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $56.7 (55.0%) | $103 · 9 | $160 · 11 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
79.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $55.3 (25.8%) | $215 · 21 | $270 · 5 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 11:58 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 48.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $48.3 (25.8%) | $187 · 10 | $236 · 4 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:33 AM | |
89.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $46.6 (78.1%) | $59.6 · 3 | $106 · 2 | $0 | May 16, 2026 11:36 AM | ||
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? WonNoPolitics | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $44.5 (1514.5%) | $2.94 · 2 | $6.15 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 6:04 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 49.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $43.1 (27.0%) | $160 · 19 | $203 · 10 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? WonYesPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $42.9 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:27 PM | |
38.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $42.3 (116.9%) | $36.2 · 5 | $46.1 · 4 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 3:22 PM | ||
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 61.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $39.4 (22.4%) | $176 · 14 | $216 · 8 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | |
35.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $35.6 (50.0%) | $71.3 · 8 | $107 · 7 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:28 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 75.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $33.9 (24.5%) | $138 · 13 | $172 · 6 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:38 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 75.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $30.8 (19.8%) | $156 · 8 | $186 · 4 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
77.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.9 (26.8%) | $103 · 22 | $132 · 3 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 12:24 PM | ||
57.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.6 (101.9%) | $27.1 · 2 | $54.8 · 2 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:24 AM | ||
47.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.1 (56.7%) | $47.7 · 5 | $74.8 · 4 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 12:41 AM | ||
![]() Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 70.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $24.6 (19.6%) | $126 · 9 | $46.8 · 1 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:03 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 86.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.8 (15.9%) | $149 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 2, 2026 10:16 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 59.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.8 (65.6%) | $33.3 · 4 | $55.1 · 2 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 6:05 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
221
Won
60
Lost
58
Win Rate
50.8%
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$14.4
Avg Loss
-$19.8
Total Wins
$865
Total Losses
-$1.15K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield