
Volume
$537K
Txns
3,272
Traders
506
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Dubrawa | No / 99.9¢ | -14.93 | $14.9 | |
| 5mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +14.93 | $14.9 | |
| 5mo | AgakLain | No / 99.9¢ | -6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 5mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 5mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +382.27 | $382 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +617.73 | $617 | |
| 5mo | Kerosa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | xMozly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x567b27A595827177Bd04012d6D4e6D8533554505-1772283945157 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 5mo | APECTAHT | No / 99.9¢ | -10.22 | $10.2 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +10.22 | $10.2 | |
| 5mo | gellet | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 5mo | CaKeChoco | Yes / 0.1¢ | +356.02 | $0.36 | |
| 5mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +371.02 | $371 | |
| 5mo | CaKeChoco | Yes / 0.1¢ | +643.98 | $0.64 | |
| 5mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +43.98 | $43.9 | |
| 5mo | LazzyBear | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | 0x1727...429e2b | No / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 5mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 5mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | johnywara | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x8349...e3bb03 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.02 | $1.01 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 57%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 69%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91%$0volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 100%$0volume