
Volume
$435
Txns
47
Traders
17
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$248
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 95%$31.4Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$76.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$72.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 74%$2.07Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 87%$39.8Mvolume
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
No 96%$12Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21m | 0x25B24f524CB083a1FeF880e658e035E8e8544eDB-1781975360229 | Yes / 14.6¢ | +34.30 | $5 | |
| 21m | Mojito9 | Yes / 14.0¢ | -14.50 | $2.03 | |
| 21m | TraderProMax | Yes / 15.0¢ | -19.80 | $2.97 | |
| 1d | Konfucious | No / 92.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.2 | |
| 1d | 67sfds | Yes / 8.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1d | bnetopt | Yes / 8.0¢ | -4.28 | $0.34 | |
| 1d | 67sfds | Yes / 8.0¢ | +4.28 | $0.34 | |
| 1d | bnetopt | Yes / 9.0¢ | -25.00 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | TraderProMax | Yes / 9.0¢ | +25.00 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | bnetopt | Yes / 9.0¢ | -15.00 | $1.35 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +15.00 | $1.35 | |
| 1d | Jon-Snow- | No / 91.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.1 | |
| 1d | bnetopt | Yes / 9.0¢ | -54.69 | $4.92 | |
| 1d | TeenagePanda | No / 91.0¢ | -28.57 | $26 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +16.12 | $1.45 | |
| 1d | 67sfds | Yes / 12.0¢ | +9.04 | $1.08 | |
| 1d | bnetopt | Yes / 12.0¢ | -9.04 | $1.08 | |
| 2d | 0xcB0cECa0364C892fADB691146deDA3AbCB4e2a57-1767722674801 | Yes / 42.0¢ | +14.29 | $6 | |
| 2d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 42.0¢ | -7.50 | $3.15 | |
| 2d | 0x2712...c4eb71 | No / 58.0¢ | +6.79 | $3.94 | |
| 2d | 0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.4 | |
| 2d | bnetopt | Yes / 28.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.4 | |
| 2d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 29.0¢ | +15.00 | $4.35 | |
| 2d | bnetopt | Yes / 29.0¢ | -26.08 | $7.56 | |
| 2d | flexer78 | No / 71.0¢ | -11.08 | $7.87 |
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