
Volume
$121K
Txns
3,053
Traders
495
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.58Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.11Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 83%$22.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | LeRoiSoleil | Something / 99.9¢ | -2.63 | $2.63 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | -2.63 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | arbt.martg | Something / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | -4.54 | $0 | |
| 3mo | melissanocito | Something / 99.9¢ | -4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Something / 99.9¢ | +4,649.17 | $4.64K | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +4,649.17 | $4.65 | |
| 3mo | woshinibabaa | Something / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Nothing / 0.7¢ | -7.50 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Nothing / 0.9¢ | -14.20 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | 0xe490F73D9EF3d8E4d96cED4892928c529bc1803C-1770984585760 | Something / 99.2¢ | -21.70 | $21.5 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +30.03 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0x3a25...45bb6b | Something / 99.9¢ | +30.03 | $30 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +4,249.52 | $4.25 | |
| 3mo | 1sk | Something / 99.9¢ | +4,249.52 | $4.25K | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +617.91 | $0.62 | |
| 3mo | haraya | Nothing / 0.1¢ | -617.91 | $0.62 | |
| 3mo | Nitroglycerin | Nothing / 0.1¢ | +39.82 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Nothing / 0.2¢ | +17.05 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0xC641Cb5192c46aCeb68ba075f15098C450FA7874-1768428864692 | Nothing / 0.2¢ | -68.23 | $0.11 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Nothing / 0.3¢ | +11.36 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | frapQ | Nothing / 0.3¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x319eFd22551E070C63fC8B4962b578083465C80B-1766513703487 | Something / 99.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 |
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