
Volume
$31K
Txns
951
Traders
159
Fees
$229
Liquidity
$29,068
Ends
Jul 29, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82%$5.04Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 98%$2.43Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 82%$5.12Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$1.88Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 80%$6.06Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$1.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7s | 65jdjh45 | Yes / 17.3¢ | -50.00 | $8.63 | |
| 7s | 0x3406...906ce0 | Yes / 18.0¢ | +50.00 | $9 | |
| 19s | TraderProMax | Yes / 18.3¢ | -25.00 | $4.58 | |
| 19s | 65jdjh45 | Yes / 18.3¢ | +50.00 | $9.52 | |
| 19s | ev345 | Yes / 18.3¢ | -25.00 | $4.58 | |
| 2m | MACWOT2 | Yes / 17.6¢ | -10.00 | $1.76 | |
| 2m | gcjames | No / 81.7¢ | -10.00 | $8.17 | |
| 5m | MACWOT2 | Yes / 18.5¢ | +10.00 | $1.85 | |
| 5m | ev345 | Yes / 18.5¢ | +50.00 | $9.25 | |
| 5m | Maxpnlmaker | Yes / 17.7¢ | -60.00 | $10.6 | |
| 5m | HE110W0R1D | No / 81.4¢ | -41.59 | $33.9 | |
| 5m | Maxpnlmaker | Yes / 18.6¢ | +60.00 | $11.2 | |
| 5m | puravida | Yes / 17.8¢ | -151.59 | $27 | |
| 5m | ev345 | Yes / 18.6¢ | +50.00 | $9.3 | |
| 1h | HE110W0R1D | No / 81.4¢ | -3.41 | $2.78 | |
| 1h | iiootry | Yes / 17.8¢ | -3.41 | $0.61 | |
| 1h | HE110W0R1D | No / 81.4¢ | -10.00 | $8.14 | |
| 1h | 0xb67933a3679672C802E0aC1Bddb6f7380a580E5e-1775611223553 | Yes / 17.8¢ | -10.00 | $1.78 | |
| 1h | iiootry | Yes / 17.8¢ | -20.00 | $3.57 | |
| 1h | HE110W0R1D | No / 81.4¢ | -20.00 | $16.3 | |
| 1h | puravida | Yes / 18.9¢ | -7.04 | $1.33 | |
| 1h | 0xd96a...eed8ce | Yes / 18.9¢ | +7.04 | $1.38 | |
| 1h | qcp2 | No / 81.1¢ | -44.42 | $36 | |
| 1h | puravida | Yes / 18.1¢ | -94.41 | $17.1 | |
| 1h | ev345 | Yes / 18.9¢ | +49.99 | $9.45 |
1–25