
Volume
$87K
Txns
1,367
Traders
262
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time between November 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET, and March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 84%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 79%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | DFK | No / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 4mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | DFK | No / 99.8¢ | +979.36 | $977 | |
| 4mo | lilianaisr2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +979.36 | $1.96 | |
| 4mo | 0x1c90...0ebbd5 | No / 99.8¢ | +20.63 | $20.6 | |
| 4mo | lilianaisr2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.63 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | DFK | No / 99.8¢ | +775.99 | $774 | |
| 4mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +775.99 | $1.55 | |
| 4mo | ShuhLab | Yes / 0.2¢ | -24.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0xc9f6...ced9f7 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +0.01 | $0 | |
| 4mo | mktestmm | No / 99.8¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 4mo | DFK | No / 99.6¢ | +8.99 | $8.95 | |
| 4mo | 0x60f1...258e03 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +8.99 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | BlackSheepWall | No / 99.6¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x60f1...258e03 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | BlackSheepWall | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 0x354a...f46bc5 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | DestinyColeman | No / 99.4¢ | +235.00 | $234 |
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