
Volume
$321K
Txns
6,036
Traders
601
Fees
$49
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 72%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | kevimickey | No / 99.9¢ | -54.99 | $54.9 | |
| 27d | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +54.99 | $54.9 | |
| 27d | Ezckial | No / 99.6¢ | -4.00 | $3.98 | |
| 27d | Shekel | Yes / 0.4¢ | -4.00 | $0.02 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 27d | Ezckial | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 27d | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 27d | PerspectiveOfPM | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 27d | PerspectiveOfPM | No / 99.9¢ | +273.87 | $274 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -233.09 | $233 | |
| 27d | QQLDclan | No / 99.8¢ | -40.78 | $40.7 | |
| 27d | tzquantalpha001 | No / 99.6¢ | -5.63 | $5.61 | |
| 27d | Shekel | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.63 | $0.02 | |
| 27d | Natalic | No / 99.6¢ | -5.57 | $5.55 | |
| 27d | Shekel | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.57 | $0.02 | |
| 27d | Natalic | No / 99.9¢ | +6.71 | $6.7 | |
| 27d | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.71 | $6.7 | |
| 28d | Citizenvigi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.50 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.50 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +63.78 | $0.06 | |
| 28d | wjusty | Yes / 0.1¢ | -63.78 | $0.06 |
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