
Volume
$1M
Txns
2,331
Traders
303
Fees
$511
Ends
—
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x29bb...430840 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.08 | $1.08 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.08 | $1.08 | |
| 1mo | 0x7101...b9884b | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x5c7e...bd5705 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x83b9...36002d | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xb45f...9761b2 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xf496...8f71a7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x2d50...88d909 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xccb5...025a6e | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | ScottyNooo | No / 99.7¢ | +256.82 | $256 | |
| 1mo | IdaBWells | Yes / 0.6¢ | +56.82 | $0.34 | |
| 1mo | Wwwinner | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $993 | |
| 1mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.3¢ | +71.42 | $70.9 | |
| 1mo | MerhabaKardesim | Yes / 0.7¢ | +1,071.42 | $7.87 | |
| 1mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.3¢ | +142.86 | $142 | |
| 1mo | goldsniffer | Yes / 0.7¢ | +142.86 | $1.05 | |
| 1mo | IdaBWells | Yes / 0.6¢ | +1.18 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 73%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 70%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 92%$0volume
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 2…
Yes 100%$0volume