| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 1.37 shares | 73.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.25 (24.7%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:28 PM | |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? NoPolitics 1.67 shares | 64.0¢ / 80.0¢ | $0.27 (25.0%) | $1.07 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 1.41 shares | 90.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.01 (1.1%) | $1.27 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
39.4¢ / 88.0¢ | $1.46 (73.0%) | $2 · 2 | $1.83 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:02 PM | ||
50.0¢ / 80.8¢ | $0.23 (23.1%) | $1 · 1 | $0.42 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 5:55 PM | ||
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? YesTech 0.40 shares | 42.0¢ / 74.4¢ | $0 (0.1%) | $1 · 1 | $0.7 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 1:58 PM | |
 Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? NoPolitics 1.35 shares | 60.0¢ / 76.0¢ | $0.15 (7.4%) | $2 · 2 | $1.12 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 4:18 AM | |
65.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0.1 (5.2%) | $2 · 2 | $1.76 · 3 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 10:45 AM | ||
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? NoPolitics 0.17 shares | 86.0¢ / 87.0¢ | -$0.01 (-0.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0.84 · 1 | $0 | May 12, 2026 7:32 AM | |
 Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? NoWeatherRedeemable 0.06 shares | 95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (3.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0.97 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:08 AM | |
 VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026? NoTechRedeemable 0.10 shares | 92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0 (-0.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0.9 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:55 AM | |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 94.8¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.01 (-1.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0.92 · 1 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 12:41 AM | |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.07 shares | 94.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (3.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0.96 · 1 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM | |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (S… YesTechRedeemable 0.09 shares | 92.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.06 (6.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0.98 · 1 | $0 | Apr 10, 2026 7:14 PM |
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