
Volume
$92K
Txns
4,567
Traders
453
Fees
$1
Ends
Jun 7, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
No 86%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | calami | No / 99.9¢ | +225.22 | $225 | |
| 1mo | orbiterix | Yes / 0.1¢ | +225.22 | $0.23 | |
| 1mo | orbiterix | Yes / 0.1¢ | +274.78 | $0.27 | |
| 1mo | snookiemookie | No / 99.9¢ | -7.59 | $7.58 | |
| 1mo | dodgerlive | No / 99.9¢ | -17.63 | $17.6 | |
| 1mo | rekttdoteth | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | dodgerlive | No / 99.9¢ | -6.93 | $6.92 | |
| 1mo | livepo1y | No / 99.9¢ | -293.07 | $293 | |
| 1mo | rekttdoteth | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | yfjyyt | No / 99.0¢ | -18.95 | $18.8 | |
| 1mo | orbiterix | Yes / 1.0¢ | -18.95 | $0.19 | |
| 1mo | livepo1y | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | livepo1y | No / 99.9¢ | -36.52 | $36.5 | |
| 1mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xE69F17A0756C89f36584B64D0fE6E59c2f921 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Hypurrrrrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xG843C0fDaAB99F50AA1ec702eE31cfddd4863 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -298.26 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Itlliccaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xJ2850dE39Bf48cE0B6b6B3BdaA951e6887223 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | livepo1y | No / 99.9¢ | -44.09 | $44 | |
| 1mo | livepo1y | No / 99.9¢ | -147.65 | $148 | |
| 1mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 |
1–25