
Volume
$8M
Txns
6,464
Traders
1,046
Fees
$1,393
Liquidity
$12,465
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states. Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$28Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.43Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$26.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 87%$3.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$20.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 51%$7.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Pashtun | No / 97.9¢ | +5.90 | $5.78 | |
| 2h | 50sad | Yes / 2.1¢ | +5.90 | $0.12 | |
| 2h | CriptanTDA | Yes / 1.1¢ | +26.86 | $0.3 | |
| 2h | bernardashenandoah | No / 98.7¢ | -53.00 | $52.3 | |
| 2h | ezhimkv | Yes / 1.3¢ | -114.87 | $1.47 | |
| 2h | 50sad | Yes / 1.3¢ | +9.44 | $0.12 | |
| 2h | Ilovewinning9999 | No / 98.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.87 | |
| 2h | Haradwaith | No / 98.5¢ | -15.57 | $15.3 | |
| 3h | beggarrr | Yes / 2.0¢ | -114.87 | $2.3 | |
| 3h | ezhimkv | Yes / 2.0¢ | +114.87 | $2.3 | |
| 8h | sinata | No / 97.8¢ | +6.77 | $6.62 | |
| 8h | 50sad | Yes / 2.2¢ | +6.77 | $0.15 | |
| 10h | 50sad | Yes / 2.2¢ | +2.81 | $0.06 | |
| 10h | defarc | No / 97.8¢ | +2.81 | $2.75 | |
| 18h | iliabouchouev | No / 93.8¢ | -10.10 | $9.47 | |
| 18h | 50sad | Yes / 6.2¢ | -10.10 | $0.63 | |
| 19h | Lavincey | Yes / 1.5¢ | +4.61 | $0.07 | |
| 19h | dosidi | No / 98.5¢ | +4.61 | $4.54 | |
| 22h | dodgerlive | No / 94.3¢ | -15.54 | $14.7 | |
| 22h | Haradwaith | No / 94.3¢ | +15.54 | $14.7 | |
| 1d | dodgerlive | No / 97.8¢ | -6.64 | $6.49 | |
| 1d | addi444 | Yes / 2.2¢ | -6.64 | $0.15 | |
| 1d | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 97.8¢ | -2.38 | $2.33 | |
| 1d | addi444 | Yes / 2.3¢ | +6.64 | $0.15 | |
| 1d | snookiemookie | No / 97.6¢ | -8.30 | $8.1 |
1–25